A trader pocketed roughly $400,000 through a precisely timed prediction market bet tied to Venezuela's political upheaval, cashing in hours before the regime shift made headlines. The windfall has reignited debate within the crypto community about prediction markets: Do current mechanisms provide adequate safeguards against market manipulation, front-running, and insider advantage? Early movers on such platforms can exploit information asymmetries to capture outsized gains. This incident raises pressing questions—how should platforms balance accessibility with risk controls? Should position limits apply to geopolitical events? As prediction markets grow in prominence and trading volume, distinguishing between legitimate edge and unfair advantage becomes increasingly critical for market integrity and regulatory credibility.