ADP Data Implementation: AI Disrupts Employment Landscape, Can Non-Farm Payroll Data Alleviate Shutdown Concerns?

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【ChainWen】 Recently, the bond market has been quite interesting. After the ADP employment data was released, the reaction was not very enthusiastic, but sporadic buying in the bond market still appeared. What does this reflect? AI is quietly changing the employment landscape—professional and business services are the first to be affected.

Last year was quite contradictory: government healthcare jobs remained solid as a rock, while employment in the private sector was struggling. This divergence is worth paying attention to.

The next major event is the non-farm employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, to be released at 21:30 Beijing time. In theory, the shadow of a government shutdown should have dissipated, and economic data releases should gradually return to normal rhythm. But the problem is, voices about a possible government shutdown again are already floating in the market. This uncertainty has a significant impact on the market.

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RugDocScientistvip
· 14m ago
Haha, the issue of AI taking away jobs has finally appeared in the data. The professional services sector is hit first, still looked down upon. The government’s iron rice bowl is as stable as a dog, while private companies are crying over there. This differentiation is definitely a signal. Non-farm payrolls are coming up, but the shutdown is knocking again. I really am amazed by the market’s mentality. Now they’re betting again on whether Americans can have a proper meeting. This storyline is exhausting. The recent moves in the debt market are quite precise, it seems institutions have known this for a long time. Uncertainty is the biggest certainty, anyway, we’re just here to watch the show.
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GasFeeTearsvip
· 3h ago
AI is causing trouble. Will professional services be affected? I just want to know if the non-farm payroll data can give us some reassurance, and not cause any more surprises.
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GasFeeLadyvip
· 12h ago
honestly the ai job massacre hitting white collar first is kinda poetic ngl... meanwhile government jobs just sitting there unbothered lmao. that nonfarm print gonna be spicy, but fr who's even trusting the data if shutdown 2.0 is already being priced in? that's the real gwei tax we're paying rn
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StablecoinSkepticvip
· 01-07 14:05
AI's impact is real, the professional services sector really can't hold up Let's wait for the non-farm payroll data; anyway, the government shutdown isn't over The bond market is now betting on uncertainty, it's quite interesting Government jobs are stable, private sector is struggling, this polarization is really hard to watch It sounds like good news, but it's actually not... the shutdown isn't over yet AI replacing jobs is no longer news, how come some people still haven't realized What can non-farm payroll data tell us? The key still depends on the government's attitude Really, the sporadic bond buying already indicates the problem The shadow of the shutdown hasn't fully lifted, the market is still uncertain
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CommunityWorkervip
· 01-07 14:04
AI has really eliminated professional services, private companies are still struggling, while government jobs remain very stable. Can non-farm payroll data save the market? Uh, I think it's doubtful. The shutdown is increasingly resembling the boy who cried wolf. Staying up until 21:30 to watch the market—that's the real employment crisis. Feels like government shutdowns have become the norm, so what’s the point of the data? Slight buying in the bond market? Looks like institutions also lack confidence.
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TrustlessMaximalistvip
· 01-07 13:59
The impact of AI on employment seems to be hitting private companies first --- Government job security still holds, private workers are trembling, the gap is huge --- Another shutdown? I'm really speechless, they haven't even finished releasing the data and are already hyping expectations --- What can these small moves in the bond market indicate... let's wait for the non-farm payrolls to see --- AI has replaced professionals in the service sector, now it's the white-collar workers' turn haha --- A bunch of uncertainties stacked together, still want to see the market clearly? Dream on --- Private companies lay off workers and replace them with AI, government jobs are still stable, isn't that ironic --- The 21:30 non-farm payroll report is going to tank, I bet five bucks --- The talk of a shutdown is rising again... America’s tricks are really getting annoying
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OnchainArchaeologistvip
· 01-07 13:59
Honestly, private employment is so weak, blaming AI is just too easy... If the non-farm payroll report doesn't go well, it might be blamed on a government shutdown again, hilarious A government job being as stable as a rock is actually a signal, kind of strange This small buying wave in the bond market, are they betting on something... Another shutdown? The market sentiment has already collapsed AI impacting employment? Or are companies just optimizing costs... The data at 21:30 needs to be watched closely, feels like there's still a lot of suspense
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