2026-01-07 05:23:53

In the first week of 2026, the crypto market enters a critical moment. On Friday, the US will release the December 2025 non-farm payroll data—this data could rewrite the upcoming market trajectory.

According to market expectations, the increase in employment might be only 55,000, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.6%. If these figures are confirmed, it would mean the US labor market remains weak, and expectations for a significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve will intensify. The Dow Jones and NASDAQ have already reacted in advance, with recent trends showing a clear correction. The entire market is holding its breath, waiting for the outcome on Friday.

The macroeconomic volatility is not limited to this. Bloomberg Commodity Index will reduce the weight of precious metals on Thursday, which could trigger a chain of "technical sell-offs." Last week, gold plummeted by 4.9%, and silver fell even more sharply by 8%, with pressure in the metals market still ongoing.

The CES exhibition is showcasing the future of AI chips—can Intel's 1.8-nanometer chip turn the tide? But these are just side notes. The real suspense lies in whether the non-farm payroll data will become a trigger for igniting rate cut expectations or if the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain its current stance. This answer will directly determine the trend and rhythm of Bitcoin and Ethereum in the new year.

BTC0,55%

ETH-0,02%

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Whale_Whisperer

· 22h ago

Non-farm payroll data is really the ticking time bomb this week. If the 55,000 jobs number actually comes in, the rate cut expectations will skyrocket. Can Bitcoin stay calm?

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WhaleWatcher

· 22h ago

Is non-farm data really that important? It feels like every time it's called a "decisive moment," but the coins still fluctuate as usual. Gold and silver have been hammered down; is the metal market going to completely collapse? Once the rate cut expectations emerge, the market gets excited, but reality always seems to be the opposite. Waiting for Friday to be over, but right now, should I buy or just wait and see... that's the real question. Adding 55,000 new jobs, is the US economy really that strong? Before the dust even settles, expectations are being hyped up—typical retail trap of repeated harvests. Silver drops 8%, many people might be forced to liquidate their positions. CES chips are impressive, but it still depends on what the three guys at the Federal Reserve say. Promised rate cuts, but with a policy shift, the crypto world will have to reshuffle again. Major indices have already run ahead, while retail investors are still here taking the hits.

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MevWhisperer

· 01-07 05:52

Coming back with the same story? Can you really believe the 55,000 new jobs? Anyway, I don't believe the Federal Reserve will actually cut interest rates significantly. Expectations of rate cuts send BTC soaring every time. Will this time be another false alarm... Before the non-farm payroll data is released, everyone should first review their positions. Gold and silver are dropping so much; it feels like the entire metals market is flooding out. Regarding the data on Friday, well, it seems the market has already reacted quite a bit. When it’s actually announced, there might not be much of a surprise.

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NotGonnaMakeIt

· 01-07 05:48

The boots haven't even landed yet, and there are already people betting on rate cuts in front of the screen. It cracked me up.

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just_here_for_vibes

· 01-07 05:45

Bro, non-farm payroll data is this week's critical point. If the rate cut expectations rise, BTC will skyrocket!

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RugResistant

· 01-07 05:30

The boots haven't landed yet, so everything is still up in the air. I'm just waiting for Friday to watch the show. Non-farm 55,000? If rate cuts really come, the crypto space will go crazy. Gold and silver's decline this round is quite brutal. Feels like it's time to bottom-fish the metals market. "Hold your breath and wait" - those four words are spot on. That's just how the market works. Don't make any moves before Friday. Whoever moves gets trapped.

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