The recent sell-off of Japanese government bonds no longer resembles the short-term fluctuations of the past. Looking at the long-term yields, they are generally trending upward — which reflects deeper underlying issues. Rather than saying the market is questioning the central bank's policy direction, it is more about growing concerns over Japan's fiscal sustainability and economic growth prospects.



This wave of bond market adjustments has actually triggered a chain reaction on the yen. The rise in long-term yields and the resulting changes in capital flows ultimately spill over into the foreign exchange market. From another perspective, this is not just a bond market phenomenon but also a microcosm of the global asset re-pricing process. For investors focused on macroeconomic cycles, such fluctuations in government bond yields often influence the valuation environment of risk assets.
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GasFeeCriervip
· 01-09 11:12
The Japanese bond market has indeed been quite volatile, with yields soaring all the way up, which is really a bit frightening. Fiscal sustainability? To put it simply, Japan is overdrawing on its future. As yields rise, the yen also suffers, and the entire asset allocation needs to be recalculated... this is the real problem.
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RektButAlivevip
· 01-09 09:09
The Japanese bond market is not joking around this time; fiscal sustainability is truly at its breaking point. --- Long-term yields continue to rise? This guy directly declares that there is little hope for Japan's economic growth. --- Changes in capital flows will ultimately impact the exchange rate; the yen is about to be hammered. --- Global re-pricing, Japan is the worst hit, hilarious. --- Instead of watching central bank policies, focus on fiscal gaps; that is the core contradiction. --- The valuation environment for risk assets is about to change dramatically; this adjustment is just the beginning. --- Japanese bond yields are rising, indicating that the market is truly starting to fear. --- The chain reaction works like this: one link after another.
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UnluckyValidatorvip
· 01-08 21:39
Japan is really about to have an incident. The long-term yield continues to rise, indicating serious problems. Fiscal sustainability is ringing the alarm, and this is the most heartbreaking part. The chain reaction of yen depreciation has arrived, and global asset allocation is about to be reshuffled again. No matter how the central bank manipulates, it cannot change the fundamentals; the big picture is still there. Those holding risk assets long-term should be cautious; the valuation environment is about to change. The wind in the bond market is blowing towards the foreign exchange market, and investors really need to catch the trend this time. This wave of adjustment doesn't seem like short-term volatility; it feels like a systemic revaluation has begun.
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TokenAlchemistvip
· 01-06 11:52
ngl the jgb unwind is giving classic carry unwrap vibes... long end repricing hits different when it's actually about fiscal doom not just policy noise. capital flows flipping to usd is the real play here tho
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MoneyBurnerSocietyvip
· 01-06 11:52
Japan has truly realized it this time; the upward movement in yields is no joke. I was previously thinking about arbitrage opportunities, but now I understand that this is a systemic issue being exposed. With the long-term yields rising, it indicates that people are not questioning the central bank, but rather questioning how long Japan's economy can sustain this situation. When capital flows change, the yen is directly affected, and I really didn't expect this chain reaction to happen so quickly. By the way, does this count as a global risk asset valuation reshaping? It feels like my investment portfolio is going to suffer.
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GateUser-c799715cvip
· 01-06 11:52
Japan is really about to have a problem, it's a fiscal cliff.
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staking_grampsvip
· 01-06 11:46
Japan really can't hold on anymore. The long-term yield continues to rise, and it feels like a debt crisis is slowly surfacing. Huh, capital outflows are pushing up the yen. Has the logic been reversed? Or did I misunderstand... Global re-pricing is happening, and risk asset valuations on our side are likely to suffer. The Bank of Japan is really out of options. They've relied on negative interest rates for so long, and now they're forced to loosen? With long-term yields pushing up so much, is a slow bear market in Japanese bonds coming? Hold on, everyone holding those bonds. Basically, the market no longer believes in Japan's sustainability. Aging population plus debt—this combo punch is indeed tough. I just want to ask, is yen appreciation good or bad for emerging markets? Feels like the chain reaction is a bit complicated... The topic of fiscal sustainability is being discussed worldwide now. Japan is a typical case, what about us? The exchange rate market is dancing along, and this chain reaction might be more intense than the last Japanese bond adjustment.
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WhaleSurfervip
· 01-06 11:33
Japan is really having problems now, it's not just the bond market turmoil Long-term yields are soaring, in simple terms, confidence is collapsing Capital flows are shifting, and the yen is suffering as well, this chain reaction is becoming hard to sustain Global pricing is being reshaped, we need to keep a close eye on it If Japanese bonds collapse, the valuation environment for risk assets will have to be reshuffled
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