2025 Aluminum Market Price Trends and 6061 Specification 1kg Trading Guide

Industrial Position and Characteristics of Aluminum 6061

Aluminum is the third most abundant metal resource on the Earth’s surface. In particular, Aluminum 6061 is an alloy widely used across various fields such as aerospace, automobile manufacturing, and construction, offering an excellent balance of strength and lightweight properties, making it highly valued in industrial applications.

The key advantage of this metal is that it weighs only one-third of iron while providing comparable strength. Additionally, it features excellent thermal conductivity, electrical conductivity, corrosion resistance, and superb machinability. It is fully recyclable, which contributes to its sustainability credentials. You can find it in aircraft, ships, automobiles, building finishes, as well as everyday items like kitchenware, electronic devices, and sports equipment.

Aluminum Market Price Trends Analysis for 2024–2025

Price fluctuation overview over the past 12 months

Over the past year, aluminum prices have shown a clear upward trend. From $2,179 per ton in February 2024 to $2,655 per ton in February 2025, representing an increase of approximately 21.84%. This corresponds to an average monthly growth rate of about 1.75%.

Monthly price movements:

• February 2024: $2,179
• April 2024: $2,499 (Sharp increase due to rising AI demand)
• May 2024: $2,566
• July 2024: $2,349 (Adjustment due to weakening demand)
• October 2024: $2,595 (Annual high)
• February 2025: $2,655

Major price fluctuation factors in 2024

Between March and April 2024, the proliferation of AI technology led to a surge in electricity demand, which in turn caused a sharp increase in demand for aluminum, a key raw material for wiring. At the same time, the market reflected expectations of expanded electric vehicle production in China, resulting in about a 12.11% spike in aluminum prices.

Conversely, between June and July, global economic slowdown and the Chinese real estate crisis contributed to a decline of approximately 5.93%, but the market quickly recovered, setting new annual highs.

Aluminum Price Outlook for 1kg in 2025

Current market situation

Currently, aluminum is trading around $2,611 per ton, with no clear upward or downward trend, remaining in a sideways pattern. In such an ambiguous market environment, a wait-and-see strategy may be effective until sufficient market signals emerge. Additionally, using financial derivatives to profit from both rising and falling markets can be considered.

Price increase potential in 2025

Analysts believe that aluminum prices could rise further this year. Concerns over global supply due to strengthened US tariffs are prominent, and experts project that aluminum prices in 2025 will range between $2,500 and $3,000 per ton. Given the current price levels, reaching $3,000 is quite possible, but investors should be aware that high volatility may accompany the price increase.

Major Variables Affecting Aluminum Prices

Tariff policies: Changes in tariff policies by major countries directly impact prices, especially the US tariffs on Chinese products driving the market.

Geopolitical risks: The progress and resolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict can significantly influence aluminum supply levels.

Economic cycle: A slowdown in global economic growth can reduce demand in construction, automotive, and aerospace industries, leading to lower aluminum prices.

Energy costs: Aluminum production is energy-intensive; fluctuations in energy prices directly affect production costs and, ultimately, prices.

Environmental regulations: Stricter carbon emission regulations can increase production costs.

Trading Strategies Using Derivatives for Aluminum

Principles of derivative trading

Instead of physical purchase, contract-based trading allows profit generation solely from price fluctuations without the burden of storage and transportation costs. This method is designed for individual investors to profit from price differences without taking actual possession of the raw material.

Advantages of two-way trading

By taking a long position when expecting prices to rise and a short position when expecting a decline, traders can seize profit opportunities regardless of market direction. This strategy is effective even in sideways or highly volatile markets.

Caution in leveraging

Leverage allows trading with a larger position than the capital, increasing efficiency but also amplifying potential losses. For example, with 1:10 leverage, the required capital is reduced to 1/10, but losses can be magnified tenfold. Therefore, accurate market analysis and prediction are essential, and leverage should be applied within one’s risk tolerance.

How to Start Trading 1kg Aluminum 6061

To begin trading aluminum, you need to open an account on a financial platform that handles derivatives. Most global trading platforms offer user-friendly interfaces, various technical indicators, and market analysis tools, making it accessible even for beginners.

After opening an account, you can trade aluminum contracts via mobile or PC trading systems. The key to successful trading is accurately predicting the future price direction of aluminum. This requires continuous market monitoring, staying updated with news, and combining technical and fundamental analysis.

Conclusion

Aluminum 6061 is an essential material across industries, and the 2025 market is expected to fluctuate under the influence of geopolitical variables, energy costs, and tariff policies. While the current price around $2,655 per ton has the potential to rise within the $2,500–$3,000 range, investors should be cautious of high volatility. With systematic market analysis and risk management, trading aluminum can present meaningful investment opportunities.