Last Tuesday, gold prices continued to strengthen, reaching a recent high. Market analysts pointed out that this rally is mainly driven by two major factors: on one hand, Federal Reserve officials have been releasing relatively dovish statements, reinforcing market expectations of at least two rate cuts this year; on the other hand, geopolitical uncertainties are also boosting risk aversion sentiment.
Federal Reserve official Kashkari recently mentioned that although inflation is gradually declining, there is a risk of a "sudden rise" in the unemployment rate—this statement is essentially paving the way for a policy shift. The employment data to be released this Friday is particularly critical, as investors are waiting for this report to confirm the economic trend.
Some market researchers noted that the current dovish expectations have not fundamentally shaken market perceptions, but they are indeed reinforcing a trend—against the backdrop of a low-interest-rate cycle combined with geopolitical risks, assets that do not generate fixed income often attract funds for risk aversion. In other words, in the current environment of de-globalization and increasing economic uncertainty, traditional safe-haven assets like gold remain the preferred choice for investors. This will also have a ripple effect on the overall sentiment of risk asset markets.
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SillyWhale
· 8h ago
Now gold is about to take off. As soon as the rate cut expectation emerges, no one dares to short.
Kashkari's words are just laying the groundwork for subsequent actions. We'll see the outcome this Friday.
With geopolitical tensions and rate cuts both happening, risk aversion is so strong. I feel this round of gold is just beginning.
I'm tired of the Federal Reserve's routine. They always lay the groundwork like this, and in the end, it really follows the pattern.
Assets that don't generate fixed income are actually more attractive? That logic is brilliant. Gold has truly become a scarce commodity right now.
Employment data is so crucial. Investors are betting on it. I also want to know if it will break out directly this Friday.
In the face of globalization retreat, gold is the king. There's no doubt about that.
With two rate cuts already on the table, dovish signals are out. Is there still anyone daring to short?
Geopolitical tensions plus economic uncertainty, this wave of gold movement is solid.
What is Kashkari hinting at? A sudden rise in unemployment? Feels a bit off.
Just waiting for the employment data on Friday. Gold can't hold back anymore.
Risk assets are suffering, but gold is thriving. This is the current situation.
Rate cuts are imminent, and gold is rising again. This routine is really classic.
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RealYieldWizard
· 01-07 19:47
Gold has risen again, the expectation of interest rate cuts can really be vampiric... By the way, the employment data will be revealed this Friday.
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AirdropHunterWang
· 01-06 07:00
As soon as the expectation of rate cuts emerged, gold prices rose again. This wave of risk aversion sentiment is really hard to hold back.
It's either the Federal Reserve playing coy or geopolitical tensions—feels like they're signaling to the gold bulls.
Unemployment rate going up? Then it's even more reason to stockpile gold. Anyway, nothing is certain right now.
Let's wait for the employment data on Friday; it feels like there will be another story.
Low interest rate environment makes insurance assets more stable, but gold is still the safest. I really don't dare to touch risky assets right now.
Since 2008, gold has never let me down.
The logic is actually simple: the more dovish the Fed is, the more we should buy safe-haven assets, right?
Kashkari really knows how to lay the groundwork with his words; who can't see the underlying message?
Rather than guessing, it's better to go all-in on gold. Anyway, the economy is so tough, gold won't run away.
The world is in chaos, and gold is the real safe haven; everything else is just fleeting.
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NotFinancialAdvice
· 01-06 06:57
Expectations of rate cuts + geopolitical risks, gold has to rise, the logical loop is complete
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Before the employment data is released, it's safer to stock up on some gold
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Dovish comments are everywhere, but who really knows how many times they can cut rates
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Risk aversion can turn around in a flash, don’t get caught up in the hype
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Gold hitting new highs again? Can this trend last until the end of the year? The signals seem a bit complicated
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Basically, it's still a lack of confidence in the economic outlook, so everyone is rushing to buy gold
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Kashkari's words seem to be hinting at something, the employment data on the 5th really needs to be watched closely
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Geopolitical risks are a very convenient excuse, anything can be used to explain
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Assets that don’t generate fixed income are actually attracting capital? It’s a bit counterintuitive but it’s the current situation
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Low interest rates + uncertainty = gold rising, this formula is all too familiar
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MevShadowranger
· 01-06 06:39
Gold rises again, supported by easing expectations... Employment data is the key, let's wait and see if there's a reversal on Friday.
Last Tuesday, gold prices continued to strengthen, reaching a recent high. Market analysts pointed out that this rally is mainly driven by two major factors: on one hand, Federal Reserve officials have been releasing relatively dovish statements, reinforcing market expectations of at least two rate cuts this year; on the other hand, geopolitical uncertainties are also boosting risk aversion sentiment.
Federal Reserve official Kashkari recently mentioned that although inflation is gradually declining, there is a risk of a "sudden rise" in the unemployment rate—this statement is essentially paving the way for a policy shift. The employment data to be released this Friday is particularly critical, as investors are waiting for this report to confirm the economic trend.
Some market researchers noted that the current dovish expectations have not fundamentally shaken market perceptions, but they are indeed reinforcing a trend—against the backdrop of a low-interest-rate cycle combined with geopolitical risks, assets that do not generate fixed income often attract funds for risk aversion. In other words, in the current environment of de-globalization and increasing economic uncertainty, traditional safe-haven assets like gold remain the preferred choice for investors. This will also have a ripple effect on the overall sentiment of risk asset markets.