January 6th BTC Core Conclusion: The daily bullish trend is clear, with short-term overbought conditions exerting correction pressure. Focus on low-position rebounds for long entries, consider light volume breakouts for chasing, strictly control stop-losses, and avoid blindly shorting.

I. Market and Indicators (January 6th, 14:30)

- Price: Peak around 94,758, currently near 93,700, daily candles are consecutive bullish, 5/10-day moving averages are golden cross upward
- Key Indicators: Daily RSI around 66, leaning towards strength; 4-hour/hour RSI close to 80 overbought; MACD bullish but red histogram shrinking, short-term correction risk rising
- Sentiment and Funds: Fear and greed index at extreme greed; spot ETF funds continue to flow in net, institutional buying support remains strong

II. Key Price Levels (USD)

- Support: 93,000 (immediate), 91,200-92,000 (trendline/breakback), 90,000 (psychological level/strong support), 89,000 (former low turned support)
- Resistance: 94,000-94,700 (intraday high/selling pressure), 95,000 (area of heavy trapped positions), 96,000 (former high turned support)

III. Technical Patterns and Volume

- Daily: Breakout of 92,000 consolidation zone, moving averages are bullish, upward trend is clear
- 4-hour: Price surged then pulled back, MACD red histogram shrinks, bullish momentum weakens, consolidation needed
- Volume: Intraday volume contracted with oscillation; breaking 95,000 requires volume confirmation, otherwise prone to quick pullback

IV. Trading Strategy (Gradual positioning, risk control prioritized)

1. No holdings:
- Rebound long: Stabilize around 91,200-92,000 with light positions, stop-loss below 90,000, target 94,000-95,000
- Breakout long: Increase volume to break above 95,000 (and hold steady), small position chasing longs, stop-loss at 94,000, target above 96,000
- Do not chase high; wait for pullback or confirmed breakout before acting

2. Position management:
- Longs: Move stop-loss up to 93,000, take partial profits at 94,000-95,000, lock in gains
- Shorts: Only attempt very light short positions when 95,000 is repeatedly tested and volume declines, stop-loss at 95,500, target 93,000, quick in and out, avoid prolonged battles

3. Risk control rules:
- Total position ≤30%, single trade ≤10%; strictly enforce stop-loss, avoid holding losing positions
- Watch for volume breakout at 95,000 and strong support at 90,000; adjust strategy if broken

V. Risk Warning

- Short-term overbought conditions may trigger technical correction in the 92,000-93,000 zone; stabilization after correction is a low-entry opportunity
- Be alert to ETH/SOL volatility transmission and sudden macro/regulatory news; reduce positions and observe when volatility intensifies