2026-01-05 12:49:19

Knowing about Maduro's arrest 6 hours in advance, prediction markets become leak paradise

【Plain Language Guide】In January 2026, the arrest of Maduro shocked the world, but Polymarket prediction market showed anomalies 6 hours early, with a mysterious wallet profiting 1205%, exposing insider trading.

The article analyzes three landmark cases: Maduro's resignation, Google search term predictions, and the release of OpenAI GPT-5.2, revealing how blockchain anonymity, AMM mechanisms, and legal vacuum contribute to leaks. Economists say insider information improves market accuracy, but regulators worry about moral hazards. The future may see regulatory barriers, DeFi dark webization, or internal corporate markets.

Prediction markets become "truth machines," challenging the boundaries of national security and market efficiency.

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