#比特币价格走势 Seeing Arthur Hayes's analysis that the Federal Reserve's RMP is equivalent to a new form of QE, I was reminded of several key moments over the past few years. Whenever liquidity expectations shift, the market tends to experience a clear upward cycle, but this is often accompanied by excessive emotional swings.

He mentioned that Bitcoin could potentially return to $124,000 or even surge to $200,000, which indeed reflects the possibility of asset revaluation under loose monetary policy. But I want to remind everyone that there is often a time lag between expectations and reality, and during this process, emotions tend to fluctuate multiple times. Interestingly, Hayes himself transferred 508 ETH to exchanges during a rebound — this precisely shows that even those optimistic about the market are managing risk through concrete actions.

In the long term, loose policies could indeed support the revaluation of crypto assets, but in the short term, the $80,000-$100,000 volatility range is also very real. Instead of chasing every predicted high, it’s better to build solid positions at confirmed lows and maintain a reasonable allocation. True wealth accumulation often comes from exercising restraint amid emotional swings.