#美联储降息预期升温 $BTC $ETH $PEPE

💥Wall Street veteran analyst issues a stern warning: the US labor market is on the brink of collapse, and the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates five times in a year!

Wall Street economist David Rosenberg recently made a rather bold prediction — the US labor market is not just "cooling down," but truly "collapsing." His forecast is that the unemployment rate will surge to 6%, and at that point, a recession will be imminent. The Fed will be forced to slash rates aggressively in 2026, with cuts totaling up to 125 basis points, meaning five rate cuts within a year.

It may seem not so exaggerated for the unemployment rate to rise from 4% to 4.6%, but underlying data has been screaming for some time: October’s layoffs hit a one-year high, hiring speed has plummeted, and consumer confidence in jobs has fallen to its lowest point since the pandemic. Rosenberg sharply pointed out: "With these data points, the unemployment rate is bound to test 6%."

The most heartbreaking part is that the wave of white-collar layoffs has actually been "masked" by severance pay, and the real impact has not yet been fully unleashed. Last year's Q3 GDP growth of 4.3%? He dismisses it as "a mirage." Real wages have long stagnated, and current consumption is just being sustained by tax refunds — essentially "borrowing from tomorrow."

The consensus on Wall Street is that the Fed will cut rates at most 1-2 times, but Rosenberg disagrees. He insists that the data will crush all expectations. If the trend continues, the Fed will have to get serious and implement a large-scale easing cycle. Will inflation turn back on its own? Or will the hawks miss the opportunity? A policy earthquake is brewing.