2026-01-04 17:20:59

Looking at the current market trend, the overall rebound of Bitcoin should be heading towards the $100,000 range, but it may not happen in one step. After reaching a high, the market is very likely to experience a significant correction, with a decline of about 50% before finding support.

The core driving force behind this spring market is most likely the MEME sector. Once this sector leads the rally, other tracks will naturally follow with rotation. Therefore, the current strategy is very important—do not chase the highs. Hotspots that have already risen often carry the greatest risk. Wait until the rotation reaches other sectors before jumping in; the success rate will be much higher.

BTC-2,31%

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LidoStakeAddict

· 16h ago

Having $100,000 doesn't matter if you can't get everything done in one step; the key is not to get cut by a 50% pullback and pass it on to the next person. Waiting for the MEME sector to cool down before jumping in? Easier said than done, and how many can truly hold back? Those chasing the high now are probably just here to give us the bottom-fishing money during this dip. Rotating sectors sounds appealing, but in practice, it often results in missing out. However, it's definitely much better than chasing the high. The day will come when $100,000 is achievable, but 99% of people won't endure until that moment.

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RetroHodler91

· 21h ago

$100,000? Sounds tempting, but be prepared for a 50% drop as well. The MEME sector leading the way is correct, but those chasing the highs now are all newbies. It's wiser to wait for rotation before jumping in. Don't rush; this market cycle tests patience and win rate.

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not_your_keys

· 01-07 02:36

A target of 100,000 is a bit optimistic; I believe it will peak around 80,000 to 90,000. The MEME wave was indeed fierce, but the real gains are in rotation, and those in the know are waiting for the next sector.

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DAOplomacy

· 01-04 17:42

ngl the 50% drawdown thesis is giving "i've seen this movie before" energy... path dependency on meme cycles arguably creates non-trivial externalities for stakeholder alignment across other narratives. historical precedent suggests chasing the rotation makes more sense than the obvious play, but tbh sub-optimal incentive structures tend to reward whoever moves first anyway. tricky.

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GrayscaleArbitrageur

· 01-04 17:42

Those who chase the high are all newbies; I wait for rotation.

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LiquidatedAgain

· 01-04 17:42

Once again, I got liquidated. This time, I’ve decided to listen carefully... 50% correction? Bro, are you encouraging me to buy the dip or scaring me? I can't tell. Never chase the high. It sounds easy to say, but last time I didn't listen to that advice and went all in on hot topics. I'm still on the edge of averaging down. When MEME starts to rotate again, there will probably be more casualties. Maybe I should wait until things calm down. If 100,000 really comes, I need to recalculate my risk control points. My borrowing ratio has already exploded.

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CountdownToBroke

· 01-04 17:29

$100,000? Dream on. History always repeats itself, and soon it will be cut in half again. --- MEME is really hot this wave, but those who bought the dip all got wiped out on the beach. Don’t ask me how I know. --- People chasing the high must be feeling pretty bad now. Waiting for rotation is indeed more stable, it all depends on who can hold on. --- A 50% drop to find support? Just listen to it. If it really drops, who would dare to buy the dip? --- I just want to know who can survive until the last wave of the spring market this round. --- People say don’t chase the high every year, and every year some get cut, including me. --- MEME sector is hot, but could this turn out to be another story of retail investors getting caught holding the bag?

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