What is the recent market outlook? Let's talk about the current situation.
ETH has been consolidating for 44 days since November 21. It has been mentioned multiple times that B-wave correction is the most testing for one’s mentality, and everyone present should be able to relate to that feeling.
**The overall market trend is very clear** — it is in a downtrend. There is no doubt about this. Currently, ETH's rise is simply a rebound within this downtrend cycle, so don’t overthink it. Seeing the 4-digit levels is unlikely, and the 3500 level is actually not much of a surprise.
**The issue with spot trading is here** — it looks like there’s a few hundred points of profit potential from 3100 to 3500, but that’s an illusion. Compared to the further correction in wave C later on, this profit cannot offset the losses. What’s more painful is that once you’re caught in spot positions, you should be mentally prepared for a 40%+ decline.
**Futures trading is even more complicated** — recent market movements are just oscillations without a clear trend, making trading very difficult. Setting a safe stop-loss distance is tricky; not setting one risks liquidation with a single mistake.
**Options are the real solution to this market** — the reasons are simple:
**First**, they never lead to liquidation. The worst-case scenario is losing the premium paid, which is guaranteed by the mechanism of options products.
**Second**, if operated properly, the returns can be more than three times that of futures.
**Third**, the barrier to entry is ridiculously low. To make money in spot trading, you need to invest capital; in futures, you need a large enough principal or heavy leverage. But with options? You can open a position with just 1000U, making it accessible even for beginners to try.
At this point in time, this is the most balanced choice.
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MEVSandwichVictim
· 01-07 13:41
44 days of sideways trading is really torturous, my mentality has collapsed.
Options sound good, but opening a 1000U position might just be self-comfort for the rookies.
Seeing 3500, I'm just afraid it will continue to drop after that.
This wave of contracts is truly a gambler's game, I think I'll just honestly watch the options.
B-wave correction is correct, the hardest part is this segment.
The moment I was caught in spot trading, I realized what regret truly means.
No hype, no blackening, options are indeed much milder than contracts, at least they won't lead to liquidation.
Are you psychologically prepared for a 40% drop, everyone? It feels like it might go further down.
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BlockchainArchaeologist
· 01-07 02:25
44 days of sideways trading, I've long lost my patience. Honestly, everything now looks like a false breakout.
3500 can't stop the decline; this wave of contracts really shouldn't be touched.
Options sound good, but trying with 1000U also requires maintaining a calm mindset.
Now just waiting for the C wave to truly land; that's when it's time to get on board.
View OriginalReply0
Token_Sherpa
· 01-04 15:54
honestly the options pitch here feels like selling the cure before admitting the disease is terminal. yeah, no liquidation risk sounds great on paper but... let's talk about theta decay in a sideways market. that's the real silent killer nobody mentions when they're hyping 3x returns.
Reply0
MidnightTrader
· 01-04 15:36
44 days of sideways trading is really impressive, my mindset has already collapsed.
Now, those who play options truly understand the game; the risk of liquidation is directly eliminated, and that's worth it.
Bottomed at 3500? Just watch, anyway I'm just waiting for the C wave to crash down.
Futures trading is really a trap, setting stop-losses anywhere feels suffocating, might as well try options directly.
You can play options with just a thousand bucks, the threshold is really friendly, the best choice for beginners to avoid pitfalls.
Can the returns triple? If operated properly, there is indeed a gambling edge.
Holding spot positions is just over; you need to be psychologically prepared for a 40% decline.
If this wave of market has no trend, don’t force operations; using options to avoid liquidation risk is truly deadly.
View OriginalReply0
SchrodingerWallet
· 01-04 15:36
44 days of sideways trading, I'm almost fed up. Now I'm just waiting to see if 3500 can hold.
Honestly, options sound much more comfortable than futures, no need to worry about liquidation risk, which is really reassuring.
The threshold for opening a 1000U position is really low, and the trial-and-error cost for beginners isn't high.
Just worried about getting cut again. Who knows if there's another trap ahead.
What is the recent market outlook? Let's talk about the current situation.
ETH has been consolidating for 44 days since November 21. It has been mentioned multiple times that B-wave correction is the most testing for one’s mentality, and everyone present should be able to relate to that feeling.
**The overall market trend is very clear** — it is in a downtrend. There is no doubt about this. Currently, ETH's rise is simply a rebound within this downtrend cycle, so don’t overthink it. Seeing the 4-digit levels is unlikely, and the 3500 level is actually not much of a surprise.
**The issue with spot trading is here** — it looks like there’s a few hundred points of profit potential from 3100 to 3500, but that’s an illusion. Compared to the further correction in wave C later on, this profit cannot offset the losses. What’s more painful is that once you’re caught in spot positions, you should be mentally prepared for a 40%+ decline.
**Futures trading is even more complicated** — recent market movements are just oscillations without a clear trend, making trading very difficult. Setting a safe stop-loss distance is tricky; not setting one risks liquidation with a single mistake.
**Options are the real solution to this market** — the reasons are simple:
**First**, they never lead to liquidation. The worst-case scenario is losing the premium paid, which is guaranteed by the mechanism of options products.
**Second**, if operated properly, the returns can be more than three times that of futures.
**Third**, the barrier to entry is ridiculously low. To make money in spot trading, you need to invest capital; in futures, you need a large enough principal or heavy leverage. But with options? You can open a position with just 1000U, making it accessible even for beginners to try.
At this point in time, this is the most balanced choice.