Important global data and events forecast for this week (must read)

The movements of the US stock market will directly influence the crypto market.

This week is particularly critical, a life-and-death moment has arrived.

The data this week is not dense, but all key points,
especially related to whether there will be a year-end rally.

🗓 Monday

US November Pending Home Sales Index (MoM)
Observe changes in real estate demand to assess the true pressure on residents under high interest rate environment.

EIA Crude Oil Inventories (week ending December 19)
Focus on the marginal impact of energy prices on inflation expectations.

December Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index
Regional manufacturing prosperity indicator, used to judge the true resilience of the US economy at year-end.

🗓 Tuesday

December Chicago PMI
An important short-cycle leading indicator for manufacturing,
has implications for market judgment on whether the economy will have a “soft landing” or continue to slow down.

🗓 Wednesday (this week’s core)

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (early morning)
Focus on three points:
1⃣ The degree of disagreement within the Federal Reserve on December rate cuts
2⃣ Whether new signals about the 2025 rate cut path are released
3⃣ The latest stance on inflation and economic risks

Initial Jobless Claims (week ending December 27)
Whether employment is beginning to loosen is an important reference for market pricing.

EIA Crude Oil Inventories (latest week)
Cross-verify with inflation expectations.

🗓 Thursday

New Year’s Day holiday, US markets closed
Note: Only one day off, not a long holiday,
Liquidity decreases but risks may not necessarily decrease.

🗓 Friday

December S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final
Marks the end of this week and sets the tone for the year-end rally.

🔎 Weekly summary

There are no extremely major data points this week,
but it is a critical window for year-end capital battles and sentiment shifts.

Christmas rally did not bring surprises,
Whether a year-end rally will occur depends on whether these data can give the market a new directional anchor.

How US stocks move,
The crypto market is likely to follow suit.