Wednesday, December 24th, today predicts a stabilization at 8700, go long at 87300 looking towards 88500.

By the way, let me brag a bit.
Crypto Market Outlook - End of December 2025: Stability During the Holidays or the Start of a Breakthrough in 2026?
As of December 22, 2025, the trading price of Bitcoin is close to the $80,000 high, and the entire crypto market shows signs of stability after a recent pullback, with major assets like Ethereum maintaining above key support levels despite the holiday liquidity crunch. This calm price action reflects the market cautiously digesting year-end dynamics, with participants appearing hesitant in the face of upcoming macroeconomic data releases and reduced institutional activity during the holiday week.
Seasonal patterns continue to influence market sentiment. Historically, December has typically brought positive returns for crypto assets—past data suggests that the likelihood of gains is higher in the weeks around Christmas and during the New Year. This "Santa Claus rally" effect can amplify technical rebounds and short-term momentum shifts, but it does not guarantee sustained directional changes.
Despite the seasonal backdrop, the most significant developments affecting the market go beyond temporary holiday flows. By 2025, institutional participation, particularly through Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds ( ETF ), has significantly increased opportunities for traditional investors and wealth managers. Major banks indicate that the ongoing inflow of ETF funds is a key factor driving broader adoption narratives in 2026, with some forecasts predicting Bitcoin will return to six figures next year, as regulatory clarity improves and institutional tokenization expands.
Macroeconomic and policy dynamics have now become central to the cryptocurrency narrative. Research and market commentary suggest that 2026 may mark a structural turning point, with bipartisan cryptocurrency market structure legislation potentially becoming law in the United States. This could further integrate digital asset trading into the mainstream financial system and boost investor confidence. Another expectation from analysts is that clearer regulation will reduce perceived risks and increase the participation of traditionally cautious institutional capital.
However, not all predictions are uniformly bullish. Recent revisions by major financial institutions have lowered price targets, reflecting slow institutional buying and broader macro resistance. While some banks previously expected Bitcoin to reach significantly higher price levels, updated models now lower expectations, emphasizing consolidation and slower growth rather than explosive rebounds.
Looking ahead to the market behavior in early 2026, analysts and broader institutional research highlight three dominant themes: ongoing regulatory progress, expanding institutional demand, and a shift from retail-driven speculation to more disciplined capital allocation strategies. These forces may compress volatility over time and transform the market's characteristics from seasonal fluctuations to valuation growth supported by structural factors.
That said, the dynamics of trading volume remain an important barometer. The reduction in liquidity at the end of the year often exaggerates price fluctuations in either direction, which means the current rebound may feel stronger than the market's broad confidence actually reflects. The real test will come in early January after traditional markets and major trading desks reopen from the holiday shutdown. A higher participation from institutional trading desks and normalized trading volume patterns will reveal whether this year-end stability will transform into lasting momentum or merely signify another seasonal pause.
Final Outlook: The slight rebound of the crypto market at the end of December 2025 seems to be a combination of holiday sentiment and potential structural forces. While seasonal patterns and retail enthusiasm contribute to short-term optimism, the long-term trend will be defined by institutional capital flows, regulatory clarity, and the market's reaction to the macroeconomic conditions in early 2026. Whether this stability evolves into a breakout rebound or remains just a temporary breather depends on the changes in market dynamics after the full participation returns post-holidays.