US employment data shows stagnation, Fed rate cut expectations rise

2025-12-19 16:34:10

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【BlockBeats】The latest signals from the US labor market are worth paying attention to.

Analyst Chris Igo of AXA Investment Managers recently pointed out an interesting contradiction: although inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s target, the US employment market is showing signs of weakness. What does this mean? It is very likely that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates.

What do the data say? The delayed release of the October and November US non-farm payroll data finally came out, confirming a long-standing fact—employment growth has stalled this year. No new growth, and the job market is spinning.

Igo emphasized that if you want to bottom fish in the crypto market or adjust your investment portfolio, data from the US labor market is essential. Keep an eye on these economic indicators, as more signs of weakness could lead to new changes in market liquidity.

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EyeOfTheTokenStorm

· 12-21 20:10

I've been waiting for this data for a long time, and it finally confirms my quantitative model's prediction; the interest rate cut cycle is really coming. Stagnant employment + high inflation, this combination has been seen before, it seems like it was the case in 2017... now we have to see how the Fed will decide. To be honest, this wave of signals is very favorable for day trading, liquidity is about to change, everyone get ready to enter a position. It's another macro-driven market, the technicals haven't fully reacted yet, but my model is already flashing. Once the US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data is released, we will know how the market should move, that's why I always say we need to look at the big cycle.

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ProbablyNothing

· 12-19 17:03

The expectation of rate cuts is heating up. How long can this wave last? Feels like the Federal Reserve is still dithering. --- It's the same old rhetoric—weak employment market = time to print money? This logic in the crypto world has been stale for a long time. --- Before bottom fishing, check how much is left in your wallet haha. --- Inflation hasn't come down yet, and now they want to cut rates? That's funny. --- New liquidity changes? Are you saying Bitcoin is about to take off again or continue to fall? --- So should we go all-in now or keep watching, everyone? --- If the US economy keeps going like this, crypto might really be the only way out. --- One year of employment stagnation—wasn't this data known long ago? Why mention it now? --- Rate cuts are coming, retail investors follow the moves, and they still get chopped up—just this cycle. --- Wait for liquidity to enter before acting. Those who operated early will probably be crying again.

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WagmiWarrior