Federal Reserve's Williams: November CPI data may be underestimated; future rate cuts are possible but not urgently needed at this time

2025-12-19 13:58:13

【CoinPush】Federal Reserve official Williams recently stated that there may be some statistical bias in the November CPI data. He pointed out that certain “technical factors” could have caused the consumer price index for that month to be lower than the actual level—mainly due to limited data collection in the first half of October and November. This issue could have suppressed the CPI data by about 0.1 percentage points.

This detail is worth noting. Although the difference seems only 0.1 percentage points, for market participants assessing inflation trends, it is a significant variable. If these technical factors are excluded, the actual CPI might be slightly higher than the published data.

Regarding the US economy itself, Williams described it as being in a “good state.” Based on this tone, he also hinted that there might be room for rate cuts in the future. However, he also emphasized a key point: there is no rush to change the current monetary policy stance. This expression reveals the Federal Reserve’s cautious attitude—it has not completely ruled out the possibility of rate cuts but has not provided a clear timetable either.

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BearMarketMonk

· 12-20 22:05

0.1 percentage points? Haha, the Federal Reserve's explanation of "technical factors" sounds like they're just looking for an excuse. The actual CPI is higher, leaving more room for rate cuts—what a coincidence. But then again, this is the survival rule of the cycle—data can lie, but market sentiment never does.

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LiquiditySurfer

· 12-20 02:47

0.1 percentage points? Bro, this is just the Fed playing a numbers game. They superficially lower inflation but are actually still flooding the market.

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OnChainArchaeologist

· 12-19 14:26

0.1 percentage point? Why doesn't this guy just tell the real inflation number directly, it feels like the usual "technical factors" excuse again. The space for rate cuts is right there, just not in a hurry. The Federal Reserve is playing this hand really well. Saying "a good state" and wanting to cut rates? Why not keep increasing them? The logic is a bit interesting. Could the real CPI be higher? Then weren't the previous data just nonsense? Why not clarify it earlier? This is just laying the groundwork, first teasing the reveal to build suspense, there will definitely be big moves later. Another "possible" and "maybe," I'm tired of the Federal Reserve bureaucrat tone. 0.1 point can't change the market rhythm? Nonsense, just looking for reasons for subsequent decisions.

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ConfusedWhale

· 12-19 14:18

0.1 percentage point can lower CPI? This kind of rhetoric sounds like it's paving the way for interest rate cuts. It's "good condition" and "not urgent" again—The Federal Reserve is playing this double act very smoothly. Inflation isn't that easy to reverse; don't be fooled by these technical factors. Real CPI might be higher? Then isn't the current data just politically correct?

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ChainMaskedRider

· 12-19 14:07

Here we go again with this set, 0.1 percentage point "technical factors"? Basically, it's just data waterboarding; the actual inflation might be higher. The rate cut expectations this time are probably going to fall short.

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