2025-12-14 13:20:22

#加密生态动态追踪 December 14 evening crypto market quick review

Today, there are several major events in the market worth paying attention to. First are the perspectives of some heavyweight figures—Cathie Wood expressed her view that the crypto market may have already bottomed out, and Bitcoin remains the top choice for institutional allocation; Trump’s Federal Reserve Chair candidate Warsh posed an interesting argument, suggesting that Bitcoin could serve as a check against government spending.

Looking at trading data, the Bitcoin premium index on a leading compliant platform has maintained a positive premium for 12 consecutive days, currently at 0.017%, reflecting subtle market changes.

Regarding cycle theory, analysts from 10x Research hold a different view—they disagree with the statement that the "Bitcoin four-year cycle has been broken," but also point out that the market may no longer rely primarily on halving events as key anchors.

Another potential risk comes from the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy stance. If the central bank raises interest rates as scheduled, analysts estimate that $BTC could retrace to around $70,000. Meanwhile, Bitwise’s advisory team notes that the current market structure is not very favorable for Bitcoin’s rise, as large whales of Bitcoin OGs are still actively reducing their holdings.

The trends of other mainstream assets like $ETH, $BNB, and others are also worth watching.

BTC0.7%

BNB0.77%

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VitalikFanAccount

· 12-16 18:00

Cathie Wood is starting to tell stories again, bottoming out? Come on, no one can predict this round. Will the Japanese Central Bank's rate hike really crash the market? Feels like it's just hype. The big whale reducing holdings... it's outrageous, retail investors still have to buy the dip. That argument from Warsh sounds quite fresh, Bitcoin balancing government spending, it sounds a bit far-fetched but maybe there's something to it. A 0.017% premium lasting 12 days? Why is this number so small? ETH and BNB really have no presence anymore, now it's all about Bitcoin.

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airdrop_huntress

· 12-14 13:46

Are whales still reducing their positions? Then why haven't the big players withdrawn yet? I've seen this trick too many times.

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TokenomicsTrapper

· 12-14 13:46

lmao cathie wood saying we hit bottom is literally the classic exit pump pattern... watched those whales dumping on schedule last week already

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PhantomMiner

· 12-14 13:45

Whales are reducing their positions, while I'm still adding, my mindset is unmatched haha The Bank of Japan really dares to do it, 70,000 doesn't seem to come back for sure Cathie is starting to call the bottom again, believe her once and you'll lose everything This premium data is too subtle, who can understand it The cycle theory should have been broken long ago, everyone still studying it is out That guy Trump says Bitcoin counters government spending, I quite agree with this logic OG whales are running, retail investors are still rushing, always the same pattern Looking at a data point as a major event, it's a bit superficial Bottom, bottom, shouting bottom every day, wait until it truly hits bottom before saying anything $BTC $ETH also needs to follow the central bank's lead, it's too difficult

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MaticHoleFiller

· 12-14 13:43

Bottoming out? I feel like this is just another signal of a new round of chopping the leeks. Whatever Cathie says might not be accurate. --- Whales are reducing their positions again... These big players are really annoying. Retail investors can never keep up with the rhythm. --- Around 70,000? The Bank of Japan's move is really unethical. Will we still be able to play with coins nicely next year? --- Just a 12-day premium and already talking about bottoming out? I take this as a bearish signal. --- The cycle hasn't broken; only the anchor point has changed. Honestly, no one can tell when the next move will come. --- $BTC $ETH $BNB Such a drop and still call it a quick review? This is a rapid decline. --- After hearing so many analyses, no one can predict accurately. Might as well go all in. --- Is Warsh trying to use Bitcoin to hedge US debt? Sounds sophisticated, but I don't buy it. --- OGs are reducing their positions while we're still adding. That's the harsh reality, I suppose. --- Government checks and balances? Wake up, everyone. Regulatory control is always hanging over our heads.

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GateUser-00be86fc

· 12-14 13:42

Wood Sister is out again touting the bottom, always saying the same thing haha --- Wait a minute, is the big whale reducing positions? Are retail investors still chasing the highs? --- If the Bank of Japan truly raises interest rates, the 70,000 level might need to go lower --- This warsh theory sounds quite fresh, but can it really balance things out? Just talking nonsense --- There's nothing to get excited about with 12 days of positive premium, the data is too subtle --- Still debating the four-year cycle, wake up everyone --- Where are ETH and BNB? How are these two moving?

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