Bitcoin Volatility Dilemma: OG Selling and ETF Demand Double Pressure

2025-12-14 12:40:19

Abstract generation in progress

【Crypto World】Industry insiders analyze that the underlying logic of the current Bitcoin market is actually quite off. On one side, large Bitcoin holders continue to offload their holdings; on the other side, demand for ETFs and spot trading is also cooling down. Under this double pressure, Bitcoin’s attempt to trigger a real rally is almost a pipe dream.

Want to change the situation? Basically, it has to return to an environment of high volatility, especially a breakout to the upside. Remember the discussion in November—“Either a grand surge or complete exit”? At that time, some abnormal signals were indeed observed, and volatility also picked up, once giving hope for a rebound.

But the most ironic thing is that the recent two weeks’ market has pushed that hope back down. From a high of 63% at the end of November, implied volatility has fallen all the way to 44%, and the rebound momentum has been forcibly suppressed. The market is waiting for a wind to come, but that wind hasn’t started blowing yet.

BTC-2.74%

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AirdropAnxiety

· 22h ago

Is it the same old story again, OG running away, institutions being cold, does that mean there's no hope? Volatility has dropped from 63 to 44, to put it bluntly, the hype is gone, retail investors should also face reality. Waiting for the wind? The wind may never come, brother, it's better to think about how to survive this round. This logic is uncomfortable for anyone, no one is buying and no one is pumping, why would it go up?

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HappyMinerUncle

· 12-14 13:10

Large investors are fleeing, and ETFs are not buying in either. This situation is indeed quite desperate. OGs are all dumping; why should retail investors still take the bait? Volatility has dropped from 63% to 44%. This is what they call "hope being ruthlessly crushed." Waiting for the wind to come is pointless; might as well run on your own. I really don't know how much longer this stagnation will last. This pace is truly torturous. Had I known back in November, I should have gotten on board then.

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NullWhisperer

· 12-14 13:09

iv collapsing from 63% to 44% is actually the real red flag here. technically speaking, that's not consolidation—that's exhaustion. whales dumping while etf demand tanks? the math checks out. we're watching a potential vulnerability in the entire momentum narrative.

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SelfStaking

· 12-14 13:08

Whales are fleeing, ETF demand is cooling, volatility has dropped from 63 to 44... This is the feeling of slowly dying.

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SerNgmi

· 12-14 13:04

Large investors fleeing, ETF cooling down, this double kill is really outrageous. Volatility has dropped from 63% to 44%, but it feels like it's just standing still.

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SwapWhisperer

· 12-14 12:42

Big players are fleeing, ETF is not buying either. This is today’s BTC for you—hilarious.

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