The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations have driven a rebound in the crypto market, but opportunities and risks often coexist. Many retail investors frequently enter and exit amidst volatility, ultimately losing more than they gain. The core reason is not luck, but a lack of a systematic trading methodology.

After years of market observation, a widely overlooked "simple method" has been repeatedly validated—it does not rely on insider information nor gamble on market luck, but instead identifies the intentions of the big players through a combination of volume, sentiment, and mindset. The following six trading rules, mastering each one can significantly reduce the probability of losses.

**A slow decline after a rapid surge is a sign of shakeout;** no need to panic sell. However, a sudden spike in volume followed by a quick crash is a typical trap to lure buyers and then dump, so caution is needed. Conversely, a sharp drop followed by a slow rebound is easily a trap—many mistakenly believe that "bottoming out" is the right time to buy, unaware that the big players have already set a short trap.

**The change in trading volume at the top most accurately indicates risk.** Sustained high-volume oscillations at high levels suggest room for further gains, but when volume suddenly shrinks and the market becomes quiet, a crash is imminent. Conversely, at the bottom—single-day large-volume rebounds are often bait, while the real signal for building positions is a gradual increase in volume after consolidation with reduced volume.

The underlying logic is simple: **The essence of crypto trading is trading emotions, and volume is a mirror of market consensus.** Candlestick charts are just surface phenomena; the true basis for decision-making lies behind the volume.

Beyond technical analysis, cultivating the right trading mindset is equally crucial. Without attachments, one can wait in cash for real opportunities; without greed, one can avoid chasing highs and getting trapped; without fear, one dares to position during market panic. These three points may seem simple, but they are the dividing line between top traders and retail investors.

The crypto market is not short of opportunities; what is lacking are disciplined traders and a clear understanding of the market. Mastering this approach will significantly improve your win rate.