Post-Thanksgiving jobless claims just dropped some interesting numbers. While initial filings saw a notable spike—probably seasonal noise from holiday hiring patterns winding down—the bigger picture tells a different story.
Layoffs? Still historically low. Companies aren't exactly rushing to cut headcount right now. This tracks with what we've been seeing: tight labor conditions persisting even as the Fed keeps rate policy restrictive.
What does this mean for risk assets? When employment stays resilient, it complicates the "soft landing" narrative. Strong labor market = continued consumer spending power = inflation potentially staying stickier than markets want.
Worth watching how this plays into the next FOMC decision. If job market strength holds, that rate cut timeline everyone's pricing in might need recalibration.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
16 Likes
Reward
16
7
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
NotSatoshi
· 17h ago
The labor market is not as fragile as imagined; the Federal Reserve might find it more difficult to cut interest rates.
View OriginalReply0
BitcoinDaddy
· 12-11 15:16
The labor market is still quite resilient, no wonder the folks at the Federal Reserve are also having a tough time.
View OriginalReply0
CafeMinor
· 12-11 15:13
Enough already, once again using unemployment data as a pretext for good news. The labor market's resilience is actually becoming a troublemaker.
View OriginalReply0
NFT_Therapy
· 12-11 15:08
With such strong employment data, is a soft landing really still possible? It feels like the market is about to be proven wrong again.
View OriginalReply0
MEVEye
· 12-11 15:08
With such strong employment data, how can we tell the story of a soft landing?
View OriginalReply0
GraphGuru
· 12-11 15:01
The labor market is too resilient; with this trend, a soft landing is basically impossible.
View OriginalReply0
PancakeFlippa
· 12-11 14:56
With such strong employment data, the soft landing dream is probably shattered...
Post-Thanksgiving jobless claims just dropped some interesting numbers. While initial filings saw a notable spike—probably seasonal noise from holiday hiring patterns winding down—the bigger picture tells a different story.
Layoffs? Still historically low. Companies aren't exactly rushing to cut headcount right now. This tracks with what we've been seeing: tight labor conditions persisting even as the Fed keeps rate policy restrictive.
What does this mean for risk assets? When employment stays resilient, it complicates the "soft landing" narrative. Strong labor market = continued consumer spending power = inflation potentially staying stickier than markets want.
Worth watching how this plays into the next FOMC decision. If job market strength holds, that rate cut timeline everyone's pricing in might need recalibration.