Interesting shift happening here - the probability of a certain project hitting $300M fully diluted valuation on day one just slipped from 26% down to 18%.
What's weird? Market sentiment actually improved compared to two weeks back. So what's driving this drop? Are we seeing short-term jitters kicking in, or is this just traders making their moves before the token generation event drops?
Still waiting to see how this plays out...
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On-ChainDiver
· 12-14 05:38
26% down to 18%, that logic is a bit weird... market sentiment is still heating up.
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StakeOrRegret
· 12-13 00:49
26% drops to 18%, and the improvement in feelings actually leads to a decline in numbers... This logic is really hard to hold up.
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DaoDeveloper
· 12-11 13:00
tbh the divergence between sentiment improvement and valuation probability drop is giving me serious game-theoretic vibes... like are we seeing rational actors front-running their own expectations or just typical pre-TGE volatility in the tokenomics model?
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WalletDivorcer
· 12-11 13:00
The probability keeps sliding downward, but the mood is actually improving... This move is really outrageous; there must be some hidden trick I haven't seen.
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NotFinancialAdviser
· 12-11 12:59
26% drops to 18%. When the market sentiment improves, the probability of decline actually increases. This logic doesn't hold up...
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ChainMaskedRider
· 12-11 12:55
This logic doesn't quite add up. When emotions improve, the probability actually decreases? Unless the data is miscalculated, someone is dumping the market.
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MetaDreamer
· 12-11 12:52
Dropping from 26 to 18 so directly? Something doesn't feel right, the mood has clearly improved.
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LayerZeroHero
· 12-11 12:49
26% down to 18%, but market sentiment actually improved? That's odd... Need to dig into the data further.
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TideReceder
· 12-11 12:31
The probability drops so much; it was expected long ago. When market sentiment is good, the valuation probability decreases? It shows that everyone has a good understanding of it.
Interesting shift happening here - the probability of a certain project hitting $300M fully diluted valuation on day one just slipped from 26% down to 18%.
What's weird? Market sentiment actually improved compared to two weeks back. So what's driving this drop? Are we seeing short-term jitters kicking in, or is this just traders making their moves before the token generation event drops?
Still waiting to see how this plays out...