Statistical data reveals an astonishing pattern: 7 FOMC meetings this year, with 6 triggering Bitcoin corrections

According to statistics from well-known crypto analyst Ali's X post, so far in 2025, Bitcoin price fluctuations during Federal Reserve FOMC meetings are not entirely random or unpredictable, but instead follow an observable and consistent market behavior.

Among the 7 meetings held, 6 resulted in short-term Bitcoin price corrections, with the largest single decline reaching 29%. The only exception occurred after the May 7 meeting, which saw only about a 15% short-term increase.

This statistical data indicates that, for the Bitcoin market, the key factor triggering short-term market movements and downward pressure is not the specific interest rate adjustments announced by the FOMC, but the event of the meeting itself.

Based on this historical context, market sentiment regarding the upcoming FOMC meeting decision, to be announced on December 10th (early morning of the 11th Beijing time), has become more complex.

Additionally, according to CME Federal Reserve watch tools, the current market probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has risen to 89.9%.

Even though the market generally expects a "bullish" outcome, based on historical patterns, after the interest rate announcement, the Federal Reserve Chair's press conference at 3:30 AM, along with policy wording and economic outlooks, can still trigger intense short-term market volatility.

Finally, during high-certainty event windows like FOMC meetings, would you prefer to adopt a short-term strategy of "selling on the good news and taking profits early," or choose a positioning approach of "avoiding short-term fluctuations and focusing on long-term trends"?

#FOMC #Federal Reserve Rate Decision