Is the market coming at the end of the year? Look at market signals from the funding rate

【区块律动】最近观察到一个有意思的市场信号。

GSR那边负责场外交易的Spencer Hallarn说了句挺有意思的话:现在市场里的多头基本被洗得七七八八了,很多人心态都开始摇摆。你看永续合约的资金费率就知道,低得可怜,有些甚至跑到负值去了——这说明啥?杠杆玩家没那么多了,大家都谨慎得很。

但恰恰是这种结构,反而给年底的圣诞行情铺好了路。想想也是,该洗的洗完了,该怀疑的也怀疑够了,市场轻装上阵,弹性反而出来了。

Spencer对今年收官行情还挺看好的,我觉得这个判断有点意思。毕竟从资金费率这种硬数据来看,市场确实没那么拥挤,情绪面也调整得差不多了。年底会不会真来一波,咱们接着看。

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pumpamentalistvip
· 12-10 12:54
Negative funding rates are really a good sign, indicating that the retail traders have all learned their lesson, haha
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FlashLoanKingvip
· 12-10 05:20
The rate has fallen all the way to negative, indicating that this round of washing is really thorough... Next, it depends on whether the bottom rebound is strong enough
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SchroedingerGasvip
· 12-10 05:16
The funding rate is so low, which means that the meat that should be cut has been cut, and now it is waiting for a rebound
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BlockchainBrokenPromisevip
· 12-10 05:10
The funding rate has been deceiving people, and now the negative value is said to be the bottom? When I see it long, the rate is also like this, and in the end it is not smashed
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