The Bank of Japan is getting serious—once the rate hike news is out, the world's largest pool of cheap capital might run dry. How big is the impact? To put it simply, institutions that used to make easy money from "yen carry trades" are in for a tough time.



The strategy was straightforward: institutions borrowed yen at near-zero cost, exchanged it for dollars, and bought assets like Bitcoin and US stocks—just pocketing the interest rate differential was hugely profitable. But now the situation has changed—if Japan raises rates, borrowing costs will soar and the yen might appreciate. When the previously borrowed funds are returned, it could even result in a loss. What's worse, to cover the gap, many institutions may be forced to sell off their crypto assets.

Last year, a minor move by the Bank of Japan caused Bitcoin to crash instantly. If they really hike rates this time? Liquidity will be drained, high leverage positions will get liquidated, panic selling will ensue... The chain reaction could be even more intense than you imagine.

On the flip side, however, such liquidity-driven crashes often create the best "golden pit" buying opportunities. Once the panic subsides, hard assets like BTC and ETH are likely to be quietly accumulated by truly savvy investors. When the market is panicking, it’s actually a window of opportunity—provided you understand the real nature of this downturn and don’t get swept away by emotion.
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ShitcoinConnoisseurvip
· 15h ago
Coming again? The Bank of Japan is really trying to wipe out arbitrageurs. Borrowing costs soar, the yen appreciates, and they have to dump assets, creating a series of explosions—truly ruthless.
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NFTHoardervip
· 12-10 15:47
It's the Bank of Japan's usual mess again. Arbitrage institutions are starting to cut losses. The recent decline is quite fierce.
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ImaginaryWhalevip
· 12-09 18:34
With this move by the Bank of Japan, it really looks like they’re here to shake things up, and arbitrage institutions are going to be in trouble. Here comes another round of panic selling—a classic case of bag holders being forced to cut their losses, while anyone with a bit of patience is waiting to buy the dip. Feels like another feast for those looking to “harvest the retail,” and the show is about to begin. I’ve seen liquidity dry up so many times, but every time it’s actually an opportunity—the key is whether you have the guts to take it. Yen appreciation plus high interest rates—that combo is brutal, and institutions must be getting nervous. I’m tired of hearing about the “golden pit” theory; it’s really just the dividing line between making quick money and slow money. A rate hike is just a signal, but the market always overreacts—this is when calm investors have the upper hand.
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MetaLord420vip
· 12-09 18:30
When Japan makes a move, we have to react immediately. The days of easy arbitrage are truly coming to an end.
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ChainMaskedRidervip
· 12-09 18:28
The Bank of Japan is really getting tough this time. Those institutions that have been making easy profits through arbitrage should be worried.
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OPsychologyvip
· 12-09 18:18
The Bank of Japan is really about to fleece retail investors this time. Arbitrage traders should tighten their belts.
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MysteryBoxAddictvip
· 12-09 18:17
If the Bank of Japan really goes through with this rate hike, the arbitrageurs are going to be in trouble. But honestly, this kind of crash is actually a buying opportunity—it just depends on who can hold on without panicking.
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