#ETH走势分析 has been in this market for 8 years, from being a newbie who got liquidated to now having a stable account of 20 million. What I want to say is - I really am not some trading genius.

Many people always think that making money requires some secret technique. But to be honest, what allows you to survive in the crypto world and actually make money are often just a few of the simplest and most boring actions, repeated until they become second nature.

You have definitely experienced this: seeing a certain altcoin suddenly surge, you impulsively jump in, and the next day it gets cut in half, leaving you staring at your account in losses, and your mentality completely collapses. I made this kind of stupid mistake many times in my first three years. Later, reflecting on my pain, I deconstructed my trading system to the simplest form, and instead began to achieve stable profits.

**How do I choose the underlying asset now?**
It's very straightforward - first, look at the gainers list. If a coin has no popularity and funds are unwilling to enter the market, what’s the point of trying to bottom it out? I only pay attention to those that have shown performance and have traces of fund inflow, which at least indicates that the market recognizes its narrative.

**On the technical side, don't make it too complicated.**
The MACD golden cross on the monthly chart is my main entry criteria. Those K-lines on the daily chart that are twitching back and forth? To be honest, looking at them too much will only make you anxious. Before a clear monthly signal appears, I would rather be in cash waiting than gamble on those so-called "bottom-fishing rebounds" — nine times out of ten, you're just catching a falling knife.

Then there's the key position of the 60-day moving average. If the price pulls back without breaking it and starts to increase in volume, that's when I will consider adding to my position. No signal appears? Then just keep waiting. Many people lose money not because they don't know how to buy, but because they get anxious and always want to do something.

**What happens after entering the market? Don't get attached to fighting.**
This is a lesson I truly paid for with blood: when the position breaks, just get out, don’t fall in love with the market. Too many people go from profit to being deeply trapped because they can't bear to part with those few points of profit, and end up holding on all the way to Get Liquidated. Set a stop-loss line, and execute when it breaks, there’s no second thought.

As for taking profits, I never liquidate all at once. When there's a 30% profit on paper, I first sell half to lock in the profits; when it reaches 50%, I sell another half; the remaining portion is gradually moved with a trailing stop. Although this method may not capture the peak, it ensures that I can secure profits each time instead of riding a roller coaster.

There is another iron rule - the 70-day moving average is my lifeline. If it falls below this level, no matter how great the previous gains were, I will immediately liquidate my position and leave. Don't bet against the market, and don't risk your fortune to prove how "correct" your judgment is. Being able to survive in this market for 8 years relies on this awareness of self-preservation at critical moments.

Ultimately, the logic of making money in the crypto world isn't that mysterious: execute simple rules to the extreme and turn emotional management into muscle memory. The real difference lies not in how many candlestick charts you've looked at, but in whether you dare to act when it's time to cut losses.