In the investment field of the crypto world, many people harbor the ideal of "precise dumping in a bull run and perfect buying the dip in a bear market," yet often overlook a brutal reality: the bull and bear cycles are never signals that can be known in real time, but rather labels that the market acknowledges only after the trend has ended. When people use simple and blunt measures like "100,000 is a bull market, 70,000 is a bear market" to make judgments, once the price jumps to 150,000 or 200,000, or falls to 50,000 or 60,000, all preset standards will collapse in an instant. Those seemingly clever buying and selling strategies are essentially just random successes bolstered by luck.

The only three variables that can truly be controlled by investors are buying, selling, and the position ratio of buying and selling. Other factors such as market trends and sudden positive or negative news are beyond individual control. Looking back from the present, we can always clearly see the golden points of "100,000 should be dumped" and "50,000 should buy the dip", but when caught in market fluctuations, these judgments are like seeing flowers in the fog, hard to grasp.

There is a highly deceptive rule in the crypto world—rapid rises followed by slow falls. During the process of Bitcoin skyrocketing from $15,000 to $100,000, the curve appears to be a continuous upward trend, but in reality, the true explosive growth only lasted for a few days, while most of the time was spent in a volatile state wearing down patience. And when the market suddenly takes off, those investors who haven’t "settled their positions" are like passengers who missed a speeding train, left only to watch it disappear into the distance.

After entering a bear market, the pace of price decline is even more treacherous. When altcoins generally fall by 70%, it seems that they have bottomed out, but in fact they may continue to fall by 50%. This slow decline mode is the usual method of the main shipment - due to the huge amount of currency, the dealer can not sell at one time, and can only use the good news to create the illusion of a rebound, while pulling out. Every price recovery is like a "sweet trap" for investors, making people always hold the luck psychology of "selling when they rise back to the high", and finally fall deeper and deeper in the repeated pulling. It wasn't until the price fell from 10 to 1, after a long half-year decline, that investors realized that they had already been deeply trapped.

Newcomers in the crypto world often struggle to profit in their first investment cycle, primarily due to a lack of sensitivity to this gradual fall trend. However, investors who have experienced several rounds of painful losses become more vigilant in the second cycle. When profits drop from 10 times to 7 times, they decisively exit the market, no longer clinging to the peak. This transformation in perception is far more profound than any theoretical preaching— the pain of losing money gradually numbs with repetition, ultimately converting into an instinctive alertness to risk.

The crypto world market seems complex and ever-changing, but it actually revolves around human nature. The market caters to people's desire for quick profits, occasionally creating surges; it also exploits people's unwillingness to accept losses, gradually wearing down their will with slow declines. True experts can remain calm in the face of a sharp rise, quickly exit upon sensing a slow fall, while those left in the market, the bag holders, are still stubbornly waiting for a rebound fantasy that has long since been shattered.

To establish oneself in this competitive market, one needs both a clear understanding of the rules and the resilience to counter human nature. Remember, regardless of a bull run or a Bear Market, a steady strategy is always more important than blindly chasing highs and selling lows. Pay attention to the dynamics of mainstream coins like BTC, ETH, and BNB, and replace emotional trading with rational decision-making, which may help you find your own path to survival in the vast sea of coins. #BTC #ETH #牛市