Since October last year, the market has been gradually declining amid repeated fluctuations. Many people's strategies still remain in a bull market mindset—every correction they can't resist buying the dip. And the result? Almost all the profits accumulated during the bull market have been wiped out.



I am glad that I haven't moved since I escaped the top. Those who couldn't hold back less than two weeks after escaping the top are now generally experiencing profit retracement. Once retracement occurs, their mentality collapses—they always want to make it back, but instead fall deeper and deeper. In the end, even the principal is gone.

This is not a coincidence; it's human nature. We are all prone to path dependence, stubborn to the point of death, only realizing the need to turn when we hit a wall. In a bear market, waiting passively for more than a year to accept reality; in a bull market, waiting another two years to be convinced. Everyone is clear about their self-deception skills.

So the real trading rule is simple: after escaping the top, at least patiently wait for half a year or even longer, until the price hits a long-term bottom. This approach not only preserves wealth but also helps refine your mentality.

Many people make five or ten times profit in a bull market, but how many can maintain several times the gains after completing a full bull-bear cycle? Very few. The reason savvy capitalists laugh last is that they quietly build positions in batches when the group is collapsing and everyone is wailing. Any blind chasing of highs is essentially setting a landmine for their own future.

Historical data shows—market declines of over 50% are not rare at all. This means that even in seemingly stable upward phases, you must always be prepared for deep adjustments.
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SatoshiNotNakamotovip
· 01-11 02:28
Honestly, a bunch of people are still repeating last year's mistakes... I feel anxious just watching them. Getting it all back is the most toxic thought; the more you want to turn things around, the easier you are to get caught up. This wave of operations requires mental resilience more than anything else; without it, you'll definitely blow up sooner or later. It's easy to escape the top but hard to hold on; most people simply can't wait that long. Tsk, the group still bottom-fishing now will probably be very quiet in half a year.
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HappyMinerUnclevip
· 01-11 01:56
That's right, it's just that watching a bunch of people around me couldn't hold back two weeks ago, and now they've really lost even their principal. I feel a bit sympathetic but there's nothing I can do. The hardest part is the mentality, especially when you see others rebound. It's easy to escape and sell, but hard to hold on—that's the real skill. I'm different, I've already laid flat. Anyway, I've already lost, so I might as well wait. Damn, I want to buy the dip again, I need to control myself. Damn, this must be the feeling of earning five times and losing ten times, no wonder few people laugh last.
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LostBetweenChainsvip
· 01-11 01:55
You hit the nail on the head. I'm the kind of person who gets itchy to sell after just two weeks. Now my account is so green it's almost black, haha. Human nature is really the biggest enemy. Knowing you should be patient and wait is one thing, but actually doing it is another. Making five times your investment and holding onto five times are two different things. The former relies on luck, while the latter is true skill. I've paid my tuition this time. Next time, I will definitely hold steady for half a year without moving.
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AlphaWhisperervip
· 01-11 01:50
It's a bit harsh to say, but it's the truth. The people around me who are still trying to buy the dip are almost going crazy, their accounts are already in four digits. Anyway, I haven't touched it since that wave of panic selling. When I have nothing to do, I just look at charts and have some fun. Haha, securing profits is indeed a thousand times harder than making quick money. That's also why most people end up getting completely wiped out. Losing your mindset is the most deadly; once it collapses, you start gambling, throwing all risk management out the window. And those who were shouting "Golden opportunity to buy the dip"—why are they silent now?
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PumpingCroissantvip
· 01-11 01:48
To be honest, over the past two weeks, watching friends in the crypto circle cut their losses and get trapped, I’m actually glad I didn’t do anything. If only one sentence could clarify everything, how many people would have to pay tuition fees?
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LightningHarvestervip
· 01-11 01:46
Basically, it's just greed taking over, and I can't resist clicking. I watch those people cut their losses, and I can't help but laugh. --- After escaping the top, you really need to close your eyes, or you'll be sending your money out live. --- Five or ten times profit? I've never seen anyone truly hold onto it; it's all just paper wealth. --- In this bear market for over a year, I haven't moved at all. Sitting through it is the most comfortable, and it avoids daily emotional explosions. --- Path dependence is so real. Every time I think I can make it back, I end up losing even more. --- Those guys who couldn't resist two weeks after escaping the top, I guess they're all regretting now. If it were me, I would have learned to wait long ago. --- Capitalists are ruthless. When others are collapsing, they quietly add to their positions. Their perspective is different. --- Instead of chasing highs, it's better to just lie low. That's the true rule of making money. --- The fivefold gains I made earlier have all been given back now. Watching others suffer isn't doing me any good either. --- Wait for the bottom to make a move. Easy to say, but sticking with it for half a year is the real skill.
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ChainSherlockGirlvip
· 01-11 01:29
According to my analysis, this is a classic case of "easy to make money, hard to keep it." A bunch of wallets that failed to escape the top are now data on the chain, probably all struggling wildly in the negative return zone... Interestingly, their operational logic hasn't changed at all. The half-year dormancy theory sounds good, but in reality, there are only a few who can really do it, based on on-chain data. To put it simply, human nature completely fails in the face of a big drop... to be continued. The real big players have already built their positions in batches, while the onlookers are still debating whether to buy the dip.
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