Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Sunday, January 11, 2026. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends☀Loyal fans check-in👍Like and get rich🍗🍗🌹🌹
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The overall market trend on Saturday fully aligned with my expectations. As the US stock market closed, market liquidity continued to weaken, and the price entered a narrow range of consolidation. The Bollinger Bands continued to contract, and the market recovery strength gradually diminished. Currently, with a lack of short-term stimuli, the narrow consolidation of prices will persist further. Therefore, the current strategy is mainly to stay on the sidelines and wait for opportunities. The volatility is limited, and there are few short-term trading opportunities. We will wait quietly for the market to provide new directions. Follow Yibo as I continue to monitor key signals such as the implementation of Federal Reserve policies, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, updating strategies and target movements in real-time.
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The current core constraint in the market is liquidity. At the start of 2026, the crypto market has been relatively weak and volatile, with bulls and bears in a stalemate. Bitcoin has fallen over 30% from its high of $126,000 on October 12 last year, recently fluctuating between $88,000 and $93,000. Last week, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF saw a single-day inflow of $287.4 million (the highest in three months), driving the US spot Bitcoin ETF inflow to $471.3 million in one day. However, the rebound in funds lacks sustainability, and institutions remain cautious in their deployment. Since the end of the year, institutional funds have experienced phased outflows combined with macro policy uncertainties, further suppressing market risk appetite. On the macro level, Federal Reserve policies remain the key influencing factor. Market expectations for rate cuts in 2026 vary significantly: the Trump administration hopes for a faster easing pace than Powell’s original plan of “a rate cut in 2026,” and these differing expectations continue to disturb the market. It’s important to note that during the three rate cuts from September to December 2025, Bitcoin declined by a total of 24%. The traditional logic that “rate cuts benefit risk assets” has temporarily failed, and future focus should be on policy implementation and expectation alignment.
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Additionally, recent geopolitical events also require attention. The arrest of Venezuelan President Maduro by the Trump administration did not trigger significant crypto market volatility but instead led to Bitcoin rising for four consecutive days, highlighting that some funds view cryptocurrencies as “decentralized stores of value.” However, rumors of “Venezuela’s secret $60 billion cryptocurrency reserves” should be approached with caution. If there is substantial progress, it could cause short-term shocks. Currently, this appears to be only a short-term emotional disturbance and does not change the overall volatile pattern. In terms of trading strategy, the core principle remains “wait and see, patiently wait for the right moment.” With limited volatility and low short-term risk-reward ratio, blind entry could lead to “long and short losses simultaneously.” The key to future market breakthroughs focuses on three core signals: first, the timing and intensity of Federal Reserve rate cuts, which directly determine the pace of liquidity easing; second, the sustainability of institutional fund flows, especially inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which reflect institutional attitudes; third, on-chain data marginal improvements, including large holder positions, exchange reserves, and funding rates, which can preemptively signal shifts in market sentiment.
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DragonLookingUp
· 21h ago
666666666666666
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BullAndBearBattle
· 22h ago
Thank you for the teacher's sharing! Wishing: the teacher gets rich! Friends all get rich!💰💰💰
Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Sunday, January 11, 2026. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends☀Loyal fans check-in👍Like and get rich🍗🍗🌹🌹
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
The overall market trend on Saturday fully aligned with my expectations. As the US stock market closed, market liquidity continued to weaken, and the price entered a narrow range of consolidation. The Bollinger Bands continued to contract, and the market recovery strength gradually diminished. Currently, with a lack of short-term stimuli, the narrow consolidation of prices will persist further. Therefore, the current strategy is mainly to stay on the sidelines and wait for opportunities. The volatility is limited, and there are few short-term trading opportunities. We will wait quietly for the market to provide new directions. Follow Yibo as I continue to monitor key signals such as the implementation of Federal Reserve policies, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, updating strategies and target movements in real-time.
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
The current core constraint in the market is liquidity. At the start of 2026, the crypto market has been relatively weak and volatile, with bulls and bears in a stalemate. Bitcoin has fallen over 30% from its high of $126,000 on October 12 last year, recently fluctuating between $88,000 and $93,000. Last week, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF saw a single-day inflow of $287.4 million (the highest in three months), driving the US spot Bitcoin ETF inflow to $471.3 million in one day. However, the rebound in funds lacks sustainability, and institutions remain cautious in their deployment. Since the end of the year, institutional funds have experienced phased outflows combined with macro policy uncertainties, further suppressing market risk appetite. On the macro level, Federal Reserve policies remain the key influencing factor. Market expectations for rate cuts in 2026 vary significantly: the Trump administration hopes for a faster easing pace than Powell’s original plan of “a rate cut in 2026,” and these differing expectations continue to disturb the market. It’s important to note that during the three rate cuts from September to December 2025, Bitcoin declined by a total of 24%. The traditional logic that “rate cuts benefit risk assets” has temporarily failed, and future focus should be on policy implementation and expectation alignment.
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
Additionally, recent geopolitical events also require attention. The arrest of Venezuelan President Maduro by the Trump administration did not trigger significant crypto market volatility but instead led to Bitcoin rising for four consecutive days, highlighting that some funds view cryptocurrencies as “decentralized stores of value.” However, rumors of “Venezuela’s secret $60 billion cryptocurrency reserves” should be approached with caution. If there is substantial progress, it could cause short-term shocks. Currently, this appears to be only a short-term emotional disturbance and does not change the overall volatile pattern. In terms of trading strategy, the core principle remains “wait and see, patiently wait for the right moment.” With limited volatility and low short-term risk-reward ratio, blind entry could lead to “long and short losses simultaneously.” The key to future market breakthroughs focuses on three core signals: first, the timing and intensity of Federal Reserve rate cuts, which directly determine the pace of liquidity easing; second, the sustainability of institutional fund flows, especially inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which reflect institutional attitudes; third, on-chain data marginal improvements, including large holder positions, exchange reserves, and funding rates, which can preemptively signal shifts in market sentiment.