#2026年比特币价格展望 Having walked the path of trading for 8 years, the pitfalls I've stepped into and the money I've earned have taught me a lot. Today, I want to share all these experiences openly.

First is the logic behind choosing the right coins. During a bull market, altcoins are the main force driving volume; in a bear market, you must return to BTC — this is the iron law of cycle rotation. Signals of high volume at the bottom are particularly worth watching, as they often signal the beginning of a move. During an uptrend, a pullback to a key moving average usually presents a golden entry point.

Trading rhythm is crucial. Don't trade every day; capturing a few major trends per year is enough. Frequent operations only drain your fees and emotional energy.

Position management is a must for survival. Never go all-in; leave room for adjustments. Don't think about averaging down on losing coins; cutting losses promptly is the smarter choice — many people walk into dead ends by averaging down.

Regarding information, don't blindly follow the crowd. News can be referenced, but going all-in based on hype is the fastest way to lose money. Avoid unfamiliar sectors; focus on areas you're good at, as this increases your chances of winning.

Market sentiment is the easiest to deceive people. When everyone is bullish, risks are often already close. Altcoins tend to retrace after large gains, but a deep decline doesn't necessarily rebound — there's a lot of knowledge involved here.

Staying rational means knowing when to hold cash. Enter the market only after clear signals are given, which is much safer than blindly holding positions. Hot concepts come and go quickly; don't let FOMO lead you astray.

Build your own trading system and stick to it strictly. Consistent profits come from systematic decision-making, not flashes of insight.

Last but not least: investing is fundamentally a long-term game. Maintaining a good mindset is more important than any technical analysis. Honestly, most of the time you'll be losing money, so only invest with spare funds. With the right attitude, your chances of winning naturally increase.