Last Friday's market movement formed a classic V-shaped rebound. Bitcoin fell below $90,000, and the bulls experienced a brief period of difficulty, but then the market sentiment quickly reversed after Federal Reserve officials indicated that interest rate cuts of about 150 basis points might occur by 2026. As a result, the price recovered its losses and ultimately returned to pre-drop levels. This back-and-forth movement indicates that the market is still very sensitive to policy expectations.
Today's main event is the release of non-farm payroll data. This is the first non-farm data since 2026, and its impact on the crypto market could be greater than you imagine. If the unemployment rate breaks above 4.7% or if new jobs are significantly below expectations, the market will greatly increase its expectation of a rate cut in January. Such heightened expectations often provide substantial support for prices.
From a technical perspective, it is very important for Bitcoin to hold key support levels on the daily chart. After three consecutive bearish days, today’s bullish candle indicates that the current correction has largely played out. Looking at the larger cycle, there is still a chance for a rebound towards $100,000, and this process is likely to span the entire period of rate cut expectations.
**Trading Strategy:**
For Bitcoin, consider entering long positions in the $90,500-$91,000 zone, targeting $93,500. Use a light position to allow room for adding on dips during pullbacks, and set proper stop-losses for risk management to maintain a stable mindset.
For Ethereum, the $3,080-$3,100 range is a good entry point, with a target of $3,210. Similarly, start with a small position, keep room for adding, and set stop-losses accordingly.
Market dynamics always revolve around data and expectations, and the non-farm payroll data is a key point to watch closely.
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ShortingEnthusiast
· 10h ago
The non-farm data is revealed immediately, I dare not take the 90500 level.
View OriginalReply0
TxFailed
· 18h ago
ngl the fed jawboning this market around is getting tired... but yeah light positions make sense when you're playing data roulette like this
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ruggedNotShrugged
· 01-09 02:59
Non-farm data is the real knife, policy expectations are too intangible.
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Entering with a small position sounds good, but having to buy the dip and set stop-losses is exhausting, isn't it?
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A V-shaped rebound is just a V-shaped rebound, don’t always talk about what’s classic. Next time, if you give me a W-shape, I can analyze that too.
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The $100,000 mark, how many times has it been mentioned? Can we really hit it?
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Is it really comfortable to buy Ethereum at 3080? It feels like the bottom is always below.
View OriginalReply0
DaoGovernanceOfficer
· 01-09 02:56
ngl the whole "policy sensitivity" angle here is just... empirically speaking, this is exactly why token-weighted voting in DAOs matters more than people think. markets react to centralized decisions, but decentralized protocols? they should theoretically be immune to this noise. yet here we are, watching btc dance to fed comments. bit ironic tbh
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ValidatorViking
· 01-09 02:56
nonfarm data's basically the consensus finality moment we're all waiting for—market's too twitchy rn, tbh
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GasGrillMaster
· 01-09 02:48
Will the non-farm payroll data really be the turning point this time? It feels like I hear this every time.
View OriginalReply0
SmartContractRebel
· 01-09 02:48
The non-farm payrolls are really the key this time. If the unemployment rate rises, it's time to start bottom fishing.
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The V-shaped rebound seems a bit scripted; just wait for the Fed's comments to rescue the coin price. Policy expectations indeed influence everything.
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The suggestion to take a light position is reliable. Anyway, the market can change at any moment, keeping some ammunition is the way to go.
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$100,000 is not far away. It feels like the rate cut expectations can last until the end of the year.
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Involving ETH at 3080 is a bit tight; it still depends on how the non-farm data turns out.
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Honestly, policies are always more reliable than technical analysis. Before the data comes out, it's all guesswork.
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It's always about stop-loss and light positions; I hear this every week haha.
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Non-farm data is really the heart attack of the crypto world. One number can determine the quality of sleep tonight.
View OriginalReply0
WalletDetective
· 01-09 02:40
Non-farm data is the real casino; policy expectations can be even more misleading than K-line charts.
Last Friday's market movement formed a classic V-shaped rebound. Bitcoin fell below $90,000, and the bulls experienced a brief period of difficulty, but then the market sentiment quickly reversed after Federal Reserve officials indicated that interest rate cuts of about 150 basis points might occur by 2026. As a result, the price recovered its losses and ultimately returned to pre-drop levels. This back-and-forth movement indicates that the market is still very sensitive to policy expectations.
Today's main event is the release of non-farm payroll data. This is the first non-farm data since 2026, and its impact on the crypto market could be greater than you imagine. If the unemployment rate breaks above 4.7% or if new jobs are significantly below expectations, the market will greatly increase its expectation of a rate cut in January. Such heightened expectations often provide substantial support for prices.
From a technical perspective, it is very important for Bitcoin to hold key support levels on the daily chart. After three consecutive bearish days, today’s bullish candle indicates that the current correction has largely played out. Looking at the larger cycle, there is still a chance for a rebound towards $100,000, and this process is likely to span the entire period of rate cut expectations.
**Trading Strategy:**
For Bitcoin, consider entering long positions in the $90,500-$91,000 zone, targeting $93,500. Use a light position to allow room for adding on dips during pullbacks, and set proper stop-losses for risk management to maintain a stable mindset.
For Ethereum, the $3,080-$3,100 range is a good entry point, with a target of $3,210. Similarly, start with a small position, keep room for adding, and set stop-losses accordingly.
Market dynamics always revolve around data and expectations, and the non-farm payroll data is a key point to watch closely.