2026-01-09 00:22:05

Finance Minister Bessent recently publicly urged the Federal Reserve to accelerate the pace of rate cuts, creating an interesting tension with current employment data. The latest figures show initial jobless claims at 208,000, below the expected 210,000, indicating that the labor market remains resilient.

Against this backdrop, the Federal Reserve faces a dilemma: on one side are signals of a strong labor market, and on the other side are calls from the fiscal department to accelerate easing. The current benchmark interest rate remains in the 3.5-3.75% range, with market expectations of about a 75 basis point cut throughout 2025.

All of this is directly reflected in the crypto market. Bitcoin's price has fallen from its high to around $90,000, with the entire market dropping about 2% in the past period. It’s clear that investors’ changing expectations about policy prospects are impacting asset prices in real time. Every collision between policy debates and data performance could reshape the next wave of market trends.

BTC-0,14%

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FallingLeaf

· 13h ago

With so many interest rate cut expectations, can BTC still fall? That's a bit unreasonable.

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CafeMinor

· 01-10 13:35

The Ministry of Finance wants to smooth things out, while the Federal Reserve is still pretending to be resolute. In this game of chess, will retail investors end up losing in the end?

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ExpectationFarmer

· 01-09 00:52

Policy game, employment data, interest rate cut expectations... with this combination of measures, BTC is bound to drop, the logic is self-consistent.

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nft_widow

· 01-09 00:51

Is a rate cut really coming? Feels like BTC is about to take off again --- The Federal Reserve is in a dilemma... employment is good but they still want to cut rates, I bet 75 basis points can't be avoided --- The $90,000 is back, should have bought the dip... --- The Treasury Department is urging the Fed, I've seen this trick before, in the end, cryptocurrencies always rise --- A 2% decline, so what? Confident in a rebound later --- Policy game theory indeed determines the market trend, very true --- Wait, good employment data is actually bad news? This logic is a bit confusing --- Is this correction in Bitcoin the bottom? Seeking expert guidance --- Rate cut expectations are rising, HODLers are ecstatic --- Interest rates are still expected to be cut by 75 basis points, this is definitely great news for the crypto space

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CryptoNomics

· 01-09 00:49

actually if you run a proper regression analysis on jobless claims vs btc correlation, the r-squared is basically meaningless here. people conflating macro signals with crypto price action is just... peak dunning-kruger energy

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SpeakWithHatOn

· 01-09 00:39

The Treasury Department is causing trouble again. The employment data looks good, but they want to cut interest rates. I just don't understand the logic. Cutting interest rates by 75 basis points? Bitcoin is still falling, and everyone is on the sidelines. Talking is useless; only data can help us make money. So, should they cut or not? Can they just give a clear answer? This policy game is just a rhythm to harvest retail investors. You want to get in at $90,000? I'll wait a bit longer. The crypto market started to cool down even before the interest rate was finalized. Strong employment data should lead to rate hikes, but they want to cut? I really can't understand this logic. A few days ago, they said things were stable, and now they're starting to loosen? The Treasury Secretary is meddling too much. Let the Federal Reserve decide for itself.

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