#数字资产动态追踪 In this recent wave of market activity, meme coins are actually playing an interesting role—they tend to launch earlier than Bitcoin. But don’t get it wrong; this doesn’t mean memes are leading the overall trend. Instead, they are testing the waters for the market. The real factor that will determine how high the market goes next still lies in BTC.

The initial rise was mainly driven by emotional self-repair, a recovery of both technical and psychological aspects. But whether this recovery can develop into a trend depends heavily on BTC’s performance in the second phase. The market pattern is quite fixed: emotions always lead the way, and only after BTC confirms do funds start to flow in. The speed of this influx is often much faster than expected, which in turn pulls up altcoins along with it.

From an observational perspective, meme coins are particularly sensitive throughout the cycle—they respond to market sentiment the fastest and are also most prone to overreaction. The usual pattern is: on the eve of a rally, meme coins heat up first; just before the peak, they become the most frantic. Looking back at data from April and October this year, and even earlier cycles, the pattern remains largely the same: meme testing the waters → BTC signals confirmation → the entire market rises together → the final wave of liquidation wraps it up. This logic repeats so often that it’s no longer a coincidence; it’s more like a fundamental market law repeatedly validated through experience.