#Strategy加码BTC配置 $ETH We are now in a critical zone of "high-level defense and looking for shorting points."

From 2880 straight up to 3068, this wave of market movement is a continuous unilateral rise. But the problem is— the price has already deviated significantly from the moving average and is now running along the upper Bollinger Band, a typical short-term emotional top characteristic.

Although the MACD indicator is still above the zero line, the bars are beginning to shrink, clearly showing signs of high-level stagnation. Open interest (OI) continues to rise, but the price starts to consolidate sideways. In simple terms, late-coming funds are accumulating long positions, and the bullish-bearish divergence at high levels is widening.

The 3060–3080 range is stuck at the previous high + emotional suppression. Without volume breakout before, pushing higher is just a hard pull. This isn’t nothing, but rather risk is accumulating.

You can try shorting in batches between 3050–3080, with stop-loss set above 3100 on the hourly close. The first target is around 3000, with further support at 2960–2980.

To be clear: this does not mean the market will definitely reverse. The real meaning is that the short-term long position's risk-reward ratio has decreased, and chasing higher is no longer worthwhile.

If you are currently holding a long position that is trapped? It’s time to consider reducing your position and defending, rather than adding more and stubbornly holding on.

The core logic is actually very simple— the bulls have already reached an emotional stage, and the bears are waiting for "loss of momentum," not trying to guess the top. Controlling your position size is often more important than predicting the direction.