Controversy over $1.3 billion in sales: Prediction platform questions the authenticity of Trump Gold Card data

2025-12-20 02:54:11

【Blockchain Rhythm】Trump claims that Trump Gold Card sales are booming, with sales exceeding $1.3 billion. However, the prediction platform Polymarket has raised strict doubts about this figure.

Polymarket explicitly states that only sales data that have been finally approved and fully paid can be recognized. Trump’s statement on December 19 regarding the sales of the Gold Card, as well as Howard Lutnick’s claim that “sales worth $1.3 billion were sold in just a few days,” do not meet this standard — because these are merely sales claims and do not meet the hard condition of “payment completed.”

The most telling evidence is the prediction data itself. To date, the probability of the prediction that Trump Gold Card sales this year on Polymarket is 0 remains as high as 89%, reflecting widespread skepticism in the market about the authenticity of the official statement.

The Trump Gold Card is essentially an investment immigration program that allows wealthy foreigners to obtain U.S. residency by paying $1 million plus a $15,000 processing fee. Although the sales momentum is strong, from the perspective of prediction markets, the actual transaction numbers may be far lower than the publicity figures.

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TokenomicsShaman

· 12-22 06:21

89% probability is talking, how can this number be inflated, haha

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AirdropAutomaton

· 12-21 11:51

1.3 billion dollars? Laughable, who believes that? Polymarket has already stated that this is just talk on paper.

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New_Ser_Ngmi

· 12-21 08:59

Laughing to death, it's that same old story again, who would believe such pretty numbers?

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just_here_for_vibes

· 12-20 03:21

Laughing out loud, it's the same old number game again 89% of them bet that sales are zero, which really explains the problem well The gold card is just a scam to collect IQ taxes, stay tuned for what's next

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FlatTax

· 12-20 03:10

Laughing to death, it's the same old number game. No one believes it anymore, no matter how much they hype it up.

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staking_gramps

· 12-20 03:01

I'm not kidding, this 1.3 billion is probably just talk. 89% probability explains everything; the market is the most honest. All talk, where are the payment data? Show it. Actual sales should be the money received; otherwise, it's all air. Polymarket bets are so pessimistic, indicating that industry insiders don't believe at all. I've seen this trick before, hype it up first and then proceed. Gold card scam warning? 88888

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WhaleInTraining

· 12-20 02:59

1.3 billion? Uh... The data provided by Polymarket is actually quite honest; an 89% probability of zero sales really says a lot.

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NFTBlackHole

· 12-20 02:57

1.3 billion dollars? Come on, why is there so much hype around this data?

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BuyTheTop

· 12-20 02:55

Haha, still bragging, 1.3 billion directly becomes 0, I’m laughing to death --- Paid vs. sales claims, the gap is not just a little --- 89% probability says everything, the market has eyes --- Always the same trick, just listen and don’t take it seriously --- Come on, I bet on the 89% side, who’s with me? --- The 1.3 billion sales figure can’t be fake or real, now you understand --- This is classic accounting magic, just good-looking numbers --- One sentence from the prediction platform exposes it, refreshing --- Payment is the real deal, isn’t that common sense? --- Another project hyped up to the max, real data reveals its true nature once checked

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