饶舌歌手Preme超级碗押注失败，因“舞蹈算表演”输17.8万美元

Prediction Markets Are Challenging Traditional Polling

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi offer a financial-based alternative to traditional polling, enhancing predictive accuracy by requiring participants to invest real money. Despite criticisms regarding participant demographics and potential manipulation, they are gaining traction among investors and strategists, potentially reshaping forecasting methods.

ZachXBT 揭露 Axiom 内幕交易，Polymarket 内部人士提前获利超 120 万美元

Polymarket 平台曝出内部人士利用非公开信息获利事件，涉及8个地址获利超120万美元，损害普通投资者利益。数据显示，52个普通地址损失超160万美元，事件引发对去中心化金融透明度与内幕交易的讨论，可能促使监管关注合规性问题。

Polymarket Trader Bets $150K on U.S. Alien Confirmation Before 2027

Gate News bot message, Polymarket trader SCssss returned after over a year of silence and placed a $150K bet on the U.S. confirming the existence of aliens before 2027, at odds of only 16.8%. One year ago, the same trader bet on Harris winning the U.S. election.

预测市场的23大缺陷

加密 KOL Alexander Lin 指出预测市场存在23条缺陷，包括资本效率低、流动性不足、缺乏天然对冲者、市场操纵风险等。这些问题使得预测市场难以成为主流金融工具，与传统金融机构的有效性和流动性形成对比。

CFTC Cracks Down on Prediction Market Abuse as Insider Trading Cases Surface on Kalshi

Federal regulators are emphasizing oversight expectations for prediction markets, using recent enforcement activity on KalshiEX to signal that event contract trading faces the same insider trading, fraud, and market integrity standards as traditional derivatives markets. Kalshi Cases Prompt Federa

MrBeast Video Editor Suspended From Beast Industries Following Kalshi Insider Probe

In brief Beast Industries suspended a video editor who was fined and issued a 2-year ban by Kalshi for insider trading. The firm is being proactive about risks prediction markets pose, according to its CEO. A person claiming to be the employee in question solicited funds in their