Gate News 消息，4 月 4 日，以 Polymarket 为代表的预测市场平台正积极向亚洲主要经济体扩张。Polymarket 已推出中文支持，亚洲本土平台 PredicXion 则聚焦区域性事件以推动本地化采用。然而，中国、印度、韩国、日本等主要市场均缺乏针对区块链预测市场的明确监管框架，且普遍对赌博活动实施严格限制。当地监管机构尚未厘清预测市场与赌博的法律边界——若被认定为信息聚合工具，或可参照金融工具获得监管路径；若被归入赌博范畴，则扩张空间将大幅受限。业内人士指出，预测市场与赌博的本质区别在于其能够反映真实世界事件的集体预期，具备超越单纯博彩的信息价值。
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