比特币跌势明显放缓!关键支撑守住,但分析师警告:熊市结构仍未改变

BTC2,93%

3月3日消息,比特币近期价格表现显示抛售压力正在逐步减弱,但多位市场分析人士认为,这并不意味着熊市已经结束。最新研究指出,当前市场更可能进入震荡整理阶段,而非立即开启新一轮上涨周期。

10x Research在最新报告中表示,在全球避险情绪升温的背景下,比特币并未出现加速下跌,这表明市场的下行压力正在减轻。目前,比特币价格重新接近68,500美元附近的20日移动平均线,同时布林带持续收窄,意味着市场波动区间可能即将扩大。

数据显示,比特币此前一度回升至70,000美元上方,但随后回落至约68,400美元附近。技术结构上,62,500美元这一关键支撑位已连续三次成功守住,使其成为当前周期的重要防线。与此同时,RSI和随机指标均出现上行迹象,技术层面开始出现看涨背离信号,显示市场动能可能正在企稳。

不过分析人士强调,这种变化更接近于“战术性转折”,而不是趋势反转。当前波动率逐渐下降,同时资金流动情况有所改善,这些迹象表明市场并未进入加速下跌阶段,但整体结构仍然处于熊市框架之中。

Arctic Digital研究主管Justin d’Anethan指出,过去几周比特币受到多重宏观因素冲击,包括贸易摩擦、地缘政治紧张以及降息预期变化等。但近期市场情绪已从恐慌抛售转向相对谨慎,这通常意味着价格可能进入横盘整理或阶段性积累区间。

衍生品市场的变化也成为关键因素。加密行业人士Andri Fauzan Adziima表示,目前期货市场出现深度负融资利率,空头头寸明显集中,这推动了近期的空头挤压行情。此前比特币从约63,000美元快速反弹,部分空头被迫平仓,从而缓解了市场抛压。

尽管如此,分析人士仍提醒投资者保持谨慎。当前市场尚未出现持续的结构性资金流入,同时宏观层面也缺乏明确的上涨催化剂。从历史高点延续至今的整体下行趋势仍未被彻底打破,在流动性相对脆弱的环境下,比特币短期内仍可能面临多重阻力。

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Articoli correlati

GSR Launches First Multi-Asset Crypto ETF, BESO, on Nasdaq with BTC, ETH, SOL Holdings

GSR launches the first actively managed multi-asset crypto ETF (BESO) on Nasdaq, exposing BTC, ETH, and SOL with integrated staking and weekly rebalancing for a 1% fee. Abstract: GSR has launched its first multi-asset crypto ETF, the GSR Crypto Core3 ETF (BESO), on Nasdaq. The fund holds Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana and offers integrated staking within the fund, alongside active management with weekly rebalancing and a 1% management fee. This marks GSR's expanded foray into crypto ETFs and asset management services, signaling the growing adoption of actively managed, staking-enabled crypto vehicles in the U.S.

GateNews6m fa

American Bitcoin Powers On 11,298 Additional ASIC Miners

Gate News message, April 22 — American Bitcoin, a Bitcoin mining company backed by the Trump family, announced it has brought 11,298 additional ASIC miners online. The company distinguishes between total mining hardware holdings, which

GateNews32m fa

$78,000 BTC Price Support Level Reclaimed, Bitcoin Could Be Entering Bullish Reversal Stage

Bitcoin reclaiming $78k fuels a bullish reversal narrative and potential altseason, with bulls eyeing new ATHs up to $126k–$140k while bears warn of a fake pump before a cycle bottom. Abstract: The article discusses Bitcoin reclaiming the $78,000 level as a potential bullish reversal that could spur altcoin rallies, outlining bullish and bearish forecasts, possible new ATHs, and rising market optimism.

CryptoNewsLand3h fa

Abraxas Capital Adds 54 BTC, Expanding Long Position to $5M on Hyperliquid

Abraxas Capital boosted its BTC long by 54 BTC (~$4.2M) in two hours, taking longs to $5M at $77,450 avg. After closing shorts on April 12, it began a rolling long build-up. Abraxas Capital increased BTC exposure on Hyperliquid by 54 BTC in two hours, signaling a rolling long build-up after closing shorts.

GateNews3h fa

比特币突破 78,000 美元,以太坊站上 2,390 美元:市场恐慌情绪退潮

比特币突破 78,000 美元,以太坊站上 2,390 美元。本文复盘 4 月 13 日至 22 日的 V 型反转走势,解析爆仓数据与恐惧贪婪指数的演变轨迹。

GateInstantTrends4h fa

Arthur Hayes Sets $500K Bitcoin Target for End of 2026

Bitcoin hits $78k as institutions accumulate; Hayes bets $500k BTC and $200 HYPE, centering Bitcoin as his top conviction amid macro uncertainty and potential policy shifts. Abstract: This article reports Bitcoin’s rise to about $78,000 amid rising institutional accumulation, with roughly 45,000 BTC bought in the past week and more than 1 million BTC added by long-term holders over three months. It notes BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes’ end-of-2026 targets—$500,000 for Bitcoin and $200 for HYPE—reflecting Bitcoin as his top conviction and the influence of macro uncertainty and potential liquidity shifts on crypto demand. It also highlights the wildcard of monetary policy moves that could accelerate or derail these targets.

CryptoFrontier4h fa
Commento
0/400
Nessun commento