特朗普证实美国打击伊朗，相关预测市场即将结算

Bitcoin Prediction Market Trader Earns $2.3M on Polymarket in One Month

A trader has reportedly made over $2.3M in one month on Polymarket by betting on Bitcoin's price movements, controlling three wallets. This notable profit arises amid a recent Bitcoin surge to $68K, boosting investor confidence in the market.

Geopolitical Tensions Drive $478M Trading Surge on Polymarket

_Record Iran strike bets drive $469M volume on Polymarket, raising insider wallet and market integrity concerns._ Rising tensions in the Middle East triggered record activity on prediction markets. Polymarket posted its highest single-day volume as traders rushed to price in the Iran strikes.

Polymarket上预测「比特币今年跌至5万美元」概率回落至62%

BlockBeats 消息，3 月 1 日，Polymarket 上预测「比特币今年跌至 5 万美元」概率回落至 62%。此外，预测 BTC 年内回升至 8 万美元概率暂报 72%，回升至 9 万美元概率暂报 47%。

Kalshi hoàn phí dự đoán “lãnh tụ tối cao Khamenei thiệt mạng”, cam kết không để người dùng thua lỗ

CEO Tarek Mansour of Kalshi clarified on platform X that the company does not list betting markets based on death events and has implemented rules to prevent exploitation. Following the death of Khamenei, Kalshi assured full refunds for users, ensuring fairness and compliance.

Polymarket 出现多份伊朗相关合约，哈梅内伊下台合约吸引 4500 万美元交易量

ChainCatcher 消息，据 CoinDesk 报道，自美国和以色列对伊朗发动袭击以来，预测市场 Polymarket 上出现十几份与伊朗有关的合约，仅哈梅内伊下台的预测市场就吸引了 4500 万美元的交易量。 成交额最高的交易员账户名为 “Curseaaaaaaa”，通过押注 “是” 获利 75.7 万美元。另有四位交易员的收益也分别达到了六位数。

Polymarket 置顶了数个美伊战争有关的预测市场

Foresight News 消息，Polymarket 置顶了数个美伊战争有关的预测市场，包括何时停火、伊朗政权是否会在年中前垮台等。