现在会是BTC的2028钻石底吗？

PANews

bitcoin news Market Analysis Price Prediction

2026-02-27 05:27:44

BTC4,94%

ETH7,88%

LUNA2,68%

**作者：**链研社

现在会是BTC的2028钻石底吗？

2026年，无疑是比特币近十年最差的开年。

从1月1日开门黑到现在，BTC从$109K跌到$65K，年初至今跌幅24%。ETH更惨，跌34%。这是自2016年以来，BTC最差的开年表现。

但这次不一样，这次崩盘，竟然没有理由。

一、没理由的跌，才是最深的恐惧

2018年跌73%，是因为ICO泡沫破裂，满地空气币归零。2022年跌77%，是因为Luna崩盘+三箭资本+FTX跑路。每次崩盘，你都知道为什么。

每一次，你都知道敌人在哪，也知道信任重建需要多久，那2026年呢？

• 没有交易所暴雷

• 没有算法稳定币崩盘

• 没有黑客攻击

• 没有哪个国家禁止BTC

就是跌了。Fortune杂志说：史上最差开年，但没有明确的崩盘催化剂。

有理由的崩盘，市场在利空出尽后会报复性反弹；但没理由的跌像是一种慢性失血。当大家都在问为什么跌却得不到答案时，恐慌会呈指数级放大。

二、抄底指标到底了吗？

目前市场的量化指标显示，市场已经进入了某种非理性杀跌的真空区。

根据 2 月 25 日的最新数据，我们的抄底模型目前的信号仅为 1/5，离真正的底部还早(数据来源 fuckbtc)

❌MVRV < 1.0

❌价格≤200周均线

❌价格

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Articoli correlati

Strategy Adds $1B In Bitcoin, Saylor Assures Continuous Coverage Of Dividends

bitcoin news Capital Flow Stocks

Strategy added 13,927 Bitcoin to its reserves, valued at $1 billion. The company now has 780,897 BTC in its treasury, nearly rivaling BlackRock’s 788,927 BTC for its spot Bitcoin ETF. Executive Chairman Michael Saylor assured investors that the business’s growing value will enable it to

Blockzeit24m fa

NewsAlert: Trump Issues Iran Ultimatum – How BTC, ETH, And XRP is Reacting

bitcoin news ethereum news XRP news

Trump raised the temperature again with a fresh Iran deadline and warnings of overwhelming force. The rhetoric was extreme, and markets treated it as immediate macro risk. To be precise, widely cited reports quote Trump saying Iran could be destroyed “in one night” if no deal is reached, not

LiveBTCNews1h fa

昨日比特币现货 ETF 净流出 2.91 亿美元，富达 FBTC 流出 2.29 亿美元

bitcoin news Capital Flow On-Chain Data Stocks

4月13日，比特币现货ETF净流出2.91亿美元，富达FBTC流出最多达2.29亿。录得净流入的产品包括贝莱德IBIT、Bitwise BITB和摩根士丹利MSBT。

GateNews1h fa

Commento

0/400

Nessun commento