Vitalik Buterin:对“反数据中心民粹主义”持开放态度,或有助延缓AGI进程

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Odaily星球日报讯 Vitalik Buterin 在 X 平台发文表示,对所谓“反数据中心民粹主义”(anti-data-center populism)持相对开放态度,认为在当前技术路径下,限制工业级硬件算力供应,可能是延缓通用人工智能(AGI)时间表“最务实、也最不具反乌托邦色彩”的方式之一。从与相关研究者的交流来看,减少大规模算力基础设施的可获得性,或有助于拉长 AGI 的发展周期,如果推动这一进程的社会力量最初源自对数据中心扩张的反对情绪,“那似乎也未尝不可”。

不过,他同时强调,仅针对位于人口密集地区的数据中心采取行动,并不足以实质性改变 AGI 时间线。他估算,在“静态世界模型”下,实现 10 至 100 倍的算力削减是可行的;若与未来芯片设计持续进步的假设情境相比,削减幅度甚至可能达到 100 至 10000 倍,而这样的规模“将真正产生影响”。尽管路径复杂,但任何重大调整都需要“第一步”。

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