XRP下跌9%巨鲸扫货1.7亿枚:价格触底信号还是反弹前兆?

XRP2,2%

2月24日消息,尽管XRP价格近期持续承压并阶段性下跌约9%,链上资金动向却呈现出明显分化迹象,大额持币地址与机构投资者在回调期间持续加仓,引发市场对XRP价格触底与潜在反弹行情的关注。

数据显示,自2月以来,XRP始终受制于下降趋势阻力位,短期走势偏弱,市场情绪趋于谨慎。不过,链上指标显示,XRP当前市场价格已低于其实际价格,这通常意味着多数持有者处于浮亏状态。从历史周期来看,当价格跌破实际成本区间时,往往被视为低估阶段,容易吸引中长期资金布局。

资金面方面,机构投资者仍保持活跃。截至2月20日当周,机构净流入约350万美元,使当月累计流入达到1.05亿美元,在主流加密资产普遍资金外流的背景下显得尤为突出。这类资金更偏向战略配置,而非短期投机,有助于增强市场流动性与价格支撑结构。

与此同时,链上巨鲸地址(持有1000万至1亿XRP)在过去一周累计增持超过1.7亿枚代币。值得注意的是,这一集中买入行为发生在价格回落阶段,释放出大户对中长期价值的认可信号。历史经验表明,巨鲸与机构同步吸筹往往会减少流通抛压,并为后续价格修复创造条件。

价格层面,截至发稿时XRP报约1.32美元,仍未有效突破月初形成的下行趋势线,上方1.36美元附近已转为短期阻力,而1.28美元与1.21美元构成关键支撑区间。在特朗普推动全球关税上调至15%的宏观压力下,风险资产波动加剧,短线走势仍受外部情绪影响。

若后续市场风险偏好回升,加之持续的鲸鱼增持与机构资金流入,XRP有望逐步修复结构。一旦有效突破1.47美元关键阻力位,技术面看跌结构将被打破,市场或重新定价其上涨空间。

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