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$ETH - The price has bounced on the low timeframes, however it has still rejected at the lost high-timeframe support range marked in purple, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months and, over the last couple of weeks, a strong rejection point.
Because of this, I still haven’t scaled out of my hedges and remain prepared for further downside until the price manages to durably break back above and reclaim this lost high-timeframe support range.
Until that happens, I remain conservative and cautious with my approach.
Once the price breaks above this range, that will be
Because of this, I still haven’t scaled out of my hedges and remain prepared for further downside until the price manages to durably break back above and reclaim this lost high-timeframe support range.
Until that happens, I remain conservative and cautious with my approach.
Once the price breaks above this range, that will be
ETH-0.74%
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$BTC - The price has formed a deviation below the 0.786 Fibonacci POI at $65.9K, which I highlighted in some of my prior PAT updates.
That said, the price is once again struggling to break back above and reclaim the lost high-timeframe support range marked in purple, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months.
Because of this, I haven’t scaled out of my hedges yet, as I’m waiting for clear confirmation of a breakout above the lost high-timeframe support range with a daily close.
Until then, I remain conservative on the low timeframes and hedged, and in case of another
That said, the price is once again struggling to break back above and reclaim the lost high-timeframe support range marked in purple, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months.
Because of this, I haven’t scaled out of my hedges yet, as I’m waiting for clear confirmation of a breakout above the lost high-timeframe support range with a daily close.
Until then, I remain conservative on the low timeframes and hedged, and in case of another
BTC-1.14%
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$IWM - The price has once again rejected after testing the high-timeframe resistance range I highlighted in many of my prior PAT updates, marked in red, which aligns with the 1.272 and 1.414 Fibonacci extension levels.
Because of this, I believe that going forward, the most likely outcome remains further consolidation and struggle around this range until the price can manage to durably break back above the 1.272 level at $265.
However, as long as the price continues to hold above the 2D Bull Market Support Band. which has been a strong support point for nearly a year, I believe the most likely
Because of this, I believe that going forward, the most likely outcome remains further consolidation and struggle around this range until the price can manage to durably break back above the 1.272 level at $265.
However, as long as the price continues to hold above the 2D Bull Market Support Band. which has been a strong support point for nearly a year, I believe the most likely
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$NVDA reports tonight. Expecting volatility.
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90% of my comments are from bots.
Who's still here?
Who's still here?
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$BTC - The price is currently breaking below the high-timeframe support range marked in purple, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci POI at $65.9K, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months.
This is exactly why I said I won’t scale out of my hedges until there are clear signs of strength confirming that the bottom is durably in, such as the price breaking back above the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months.
For now, my overall stance remains the same.
I remain hedged and prepared for further downside until cle
This is exactly why I said I won’t scale out of my hedges until there are clear signs of strength confirming that the bottom is durably in, such as the price breaking back above the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months.
For now, my overall stance remains the same.
I remain hedged and prepared for further downside until cle
BTC-1.14%
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My overall positioning remains the same.
Over the last couple of weeks, I’ve kept most of my spot holdings in equities, and especially crypto proxies, hedged in order to mitigate downside risk.
Until clear signs of strength emerge that confirm the bottom is durably in, I’m not looking to scale out of those hedges.
For now, I remain conservative and keep a moderate cash exposure, as I mentioned in one of my latest portfolio breakdowns.
That cash will be used to re-accumulate once signs of a bottoming formation appear, such as key high-timeframe support ranges being reclaimed, confirming that mo
Over the last couple of weeks, I’ve kept most of my spot holdings in equities, and especially crypto proxies, hedged in order to mitigate downside risk.
Until clear signs of strength emerge that confirm the bottom is durably in, I’m not looking to scale out of those hedges.
For now, I remain conservative and keep a moderate cash exposure, as I mentioned in one of my latest portfolio breakdowns.
That cash will be used to re-accumulate once signs of a bottoming formation appear, such as key high-timeframe support ranges being reclaimed, confirming that mo
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A very interesting setup is developing on the low timeframes on Velo Data.
While the price is moving down and breaking below the high-timeframe support range at $65.9K, open interest is increasing and funding rates have moved deep into negative territory, suggesting that bears are doubling down on their short positions.
Technically, that can signal a deviation below the support range.
However, before I take a decisive stance, such as scaling out of my hedges and positioning for a reversal to the upside, I want to see clear signs of strength and the key high-timeframe support ranges I highlight
While the price is moving down and breaking below the high-timeframe support range at $65.9K, open interest is increasing and funding rates have moved deep into negative territory, suggesting that bears are doubling down on their short positions.
Technically, that can signal a deviation below the support range.
However, before I take a decisive stance, such as scaling out of my hedges and positioning for a reversal to the upside, I want to see clear signs of strength and the key high-timeframe support ranges I highlight
VELO-2.86%
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GateUser-ef0a6c01:
1000x VIbes 🤑:View More
$BTC - It looks like the price is currently losing the high-timeframe support range marked in purple, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci POI at $65.9K, which I highlighted in many of my prior PAT updates.
This is exactly why I said that before I scale out of my hedges and start rotating capital back into my spot holdings to re-accumulate, I want to see clear signs of strength, such as the price durably bouncing off this support range and reclaiming the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months.
For now, though, it looks like downside press
This is exactly why I said that before I scale out of my hedges and start rotating capital back into my spot holdings to re-accumulate, I want to see clear signs of strength, such as the price durably bouncing off this support range and reclaiming the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months.
For now, though, it looks like downside press
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The Weekly Market Wrap-Up is officially back, after a couple of missed weeks!
This is one of the most important ones I've shared in a long-time and it's literally a $10-$15/mo newsletter I share for ABSOLUTELY FREE!
Check it out here:
This is one of the most important ones I've shared in a long-time and it's literally a $10-$15/mo newsletter I share for ABSOLUTELY FREE!
Check it out here:
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$USDT.D - The dominance of USDT is currently sitting at bear-market low levels, which has been a strong reversal area over the last couple of years.
Because of this, I’ve been leaning more toward the bullish side for the broader crypto market lately.
However, until there are clear signs of weakness in USDT.D, such as the price breaking below the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months, and which would also align with bullish confirmations across the broader crypto market and reclaims of important high-timeframe support ranges that were
Because of this, I’ve been leaning more toward the bullish side for the broader crypto market lately.
However, until there are clear signs of weakness in USDT.D, such as the price breaking below the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months, and which would also align with bullish confirmations across the broader crypto market and reclaims of important high-timeframe support ranges that were
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$BTC - Back in 2021, while the price was pushing higher and we were inside that distribution phase, the Exchange Balance was exploding higher.
This time, since September 2024, it has been trending down, with no signs of a durable distribution phase forming.
Meanwhile, most people on X are convinced that Q4 2026 will mark the bottom and that staying fully in cash is the safest move.
But what if the normal 4-year cycle doesn’t repeat?
What if this time the crowd is positioning for a script that never plays out, and gets caught off guard once again?
This time, since September 2024, it has been trending down, with no signs of a durable distribution phase forming.
Meanwhile, most people on X are convinced that Q4 2026 will mark the bottom and that staying fully in cash is the safest move.
But what if the normal 4-year cycle doesn’t repeat?
What if this time the crowd is positioning for a script that never plays out, and gets caught off guard once again?
BTC-1.14%
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$BTC - The price has been consolidating around the same high-timeframe support range I marked in many of my prior PAT updates at $67K over the last couple of days, and from a structural perspective, it’s looking good.
However, until there are clear signs of strength, such as the price durably bouncing off this high-timeframe support range and then reclaiming the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months, confirming that the bottom is durably in and that the most likely outcome from here is a continuation to the upside, I believe the best
However, until there are clear signs of strength, such as the price durably bouncing off this high-timeframe support range and then reclaiming the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months, confirming that the bottom is durably in and that the most likely outcome from here is a continuation to the upside, I believe the best
BTC-1.14%
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$ETH - I still don’t like the current market structure, as the price has not yet broken back above the lost high-timeframe support range marked in purple, which I see as a clear sign of weakness.
Because of this, I believe that over the next couple of days, the best approach is to remain hedged, as I have been over the last couple of weeks following the breakdown below the high-timeframe support range marked in green at $2.7K, and to stay prepared for further downside.
Until we see clear signs of strength, such as the price breaking back above the support range at $2.15K, the most likely low-t
Because of this, I believe that over the next couple of days, the best approach is to remain hedged, as I have been over the last couple of weeks following the breakdown below the high-timeframe support range marked in green at $2.7K, and to stay prepared for further downside.
Until we see clear signs of strength, such as the price breaking back above the support range at $2.15K, the most likely low-t
ETH-0.74%
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CopyPosition
:
Is hedging a strategy where you buy both long and short positions at the same time, and then sell the one that breaks out for profit?:Cryptic Trades Portfolio - Q1 2026 - One-Pager
Changes in exposure:
Most of the changes you’re seeing come from portfolio performance developments that naturally shifted the percentage weight of certain positions, even without me making active adjustments. The changes I did make are:
Increased exposure in: USD, TLT, LULU, UPS, AMD, BABA, IREN, CIFR
Decreased exposure in: MARA, CLSK, MSTR, OSCR, COIN
Added: N/A
The reason I reduced my exposure to MARA, CLSK, and MSTR is because I rebalanced into other Bitcoin miners, such as IREN and CIFR, or used part of the capital to rotate entirely into def
Changes in exposure:
Most of the changes you’re seeing come from portfolio performance developments that naturally shifted the percentage weight of certain positions, even without me making active adjustments. The changes I did make are:
Increased exposure in: USD, TLT, LULU, UPS, AMD, BABA, IREN, CIFR
Decreased exposure in: MARA, CLSK, MSTR, OSCR, COIN
Added: N/A
The reason I reduced my exposure to MARA, CLSK, and MSTR is because I rebalanced into other Bitcoin miners, such as IREN and CIFR, or used part of the capital to rotate entirely into def
BTC-1.14%
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