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September Heavy Warning! If the Fed cuts interest rates, the market may experience a big dump or even crash? A pro in the crypto world revealed: "If rates are cut by 25%, there will be a fall; if cut by 50%, there will be a big dump; if unexpectedly raised, it will directly trigger a crash!"
He believes that a rate cut equals an economic recession.
But is it really like this?
💡A rate cut does not necessarily mean a recession.
First, we need to understand the logic behind the Fed's policy:
✅ Raising interest rates is to cool down the overheated economy and curb high inflation;
✅ Lowering interest rates is a measure to prevent economic recession, inject liquidity into the market, and enhance economic vitality and resilience.
Looking back at history, the Fed did indeed perform "immaturely" during the early interest rate cut cycles:
❗Started too late, public confidence is insufficient.
❗The economy has already contracted without a rate cut.
❗The panic may actually intensify after the interest rate cut.
But today's Fed is no longer the "newbie" it was twenty years ago.
🔁 They have accumulated sufficient macro-control experience.
🔁 The market's confidence in its control ability has significantly increased.
🔁 Recently, key data such as non-farm payrolls and CPI have gradually stabilized.
This time, if the Fed chooses to cut interest rates in September, it may not be "too late," but rather - "just right."
🌊 Even if there are economic fluctuations in the future, it is highly likely that the Trump administration will not publicly acknowledge them.
So, don't panic.
A rate cut does not necessarily equate to a recession; it is more likely the beginning of a new round of opportunities.
What do you think? Feel free to discuss in the comments! #RWA赛道,你押谁# #加密市场反弹# #GUSD双重收益#