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The highest bid "Meinuo" detects congestion, and deep-water salvage "Zhongli" shows signs of vitality.
After joining Taoguba, I originally intended to use my pen as a blade and the stock market as a mirror, recording the ebb and flow of qi and blood along my trading path and searching for the patterns in the veins. Unexpectedly, you fellow stock friends have shown me great kindness—every encouragement feels like a warming tonic that dispels the cold and confusion of short-term sparring, and every bit of attention feels like a channel-guiding pull that strengthens the初心 of my practice to refine my system. [Taoguba]
Xiao You understands that short-term trading is like Traditional Chinese Medicine diagnosis: you need to observe the “lesion” and distinguish “yin and yang” amid the shifting landscape of rises and falls. But the path to growth was never meant to be a solo journey—your recognition is the most precious “medicine引” in my replay log, giving this methodology that deconstructs the stock market through TCM thinking more vivid practical soil. In the years ahead, I will continue to stick to Xiao You’s four diagnostics: “watch the market action, listen to the capital flows, ask the logic, and cut buy/sell decisions,” and honestly record the diagnostic process, wins and losses, for every single trade. I hope to use stocks as the medium to trade with you fellow stock friends—to mutually study and verify, and explore the way to profitability together.
Grateful for the meeting; the road ahead is long. To whoever understands, let’s raise a cup and share the meaning together.
26.03.29 (Sunday),
10:11 p.m.,
Xiao You shares the pre-market concise prescription in time;
Today’s plan is the “front-of-the-horse cannon.”
[Pre-market Plan · Original Post]: Sunday 10:11 p.m.
Position diagnosis:
Menopharm, bids opening at 100 million with a mid-to-high open; if it actively accelerates toward further advancement when the opening bid comes, keep observing; if it doesn’t board or gets blown off, gradually dispose;
Weihui Communication, rolling treatment;
Contingency plan:
Nord Shares, open +3 and above, actively rising to strengthen;
Zhongli Group, check whether there is support in deep water;
[Result Verification]
Menopharm: bid at 130 million, opened +9 with active advancement; fully matches the pre-market plan;
Weihui Communication: continued rolling;
Nord Shares: bid at 61 million, opened +4, meets the pre-market conditions—watch;
Zhongli Group: deep-water entry on the 10-line during the day, cutting in.
[Xiao You’s Diagnostic Conclusion for Today]:
Menopharm: lying down on 4 boards;
Weihui Communication: continued rolling;
Zhongli Group: 10-line cut-in, hitting the daily limit;
Nord Shares: closed up +5%+;
------------------------
March 30th Xiao You’s Four Diagnostics
------------------------
I. Looking: observing the market’s weather
1. Looking at the overall trend:
Judging the market’s “qi and blood deficiency vs. fullness”: based on short-term sentiment indicators, today’s momentum saw an increase of 62.3 billion vs. yesterday. Overall it presents the sign of “qi and blood being replete, but localized stasis.” Trading volume modestly expanded and supported the index turning green again; however, the number of rising and falling stocks is close, and the number of stocks hitting limit-down is higher—showing that although sentiment is in repair, there are still disagreements. This belongs to a “toughness repair phase after a bottoming-and-rebound.” Consecutive-limit stocks were only Menopharm with 5 days and 5 boards, reflecting that capital is cautious about takeovers from high-level stocks and is more inclined toward low-level first-board arbitrage (50 first boards today). Overall, short-term sentiment is in a state of “mild rebound, but with average takeover quality.”
2. Looking at strong pulses and weak pulses by sector:
Strong pulse sectors—core充盈:
Optical communications
10 stocks hit the daily limit; Zhongli Group had 7 days and 5 boards, Hangdian Shares 4 days and 3 boards, Changfei Optical Fiber 5 days and 3 boards, Farsing 2 days and 2 boards. The core logic is the high-growth expectation for fiber optical exports plus anticipated demand for 800G/1.6T optical modules. Capital continued to flow in, forming a “two-engine drive” of both “trend + consecutive limit boards”;
Commercial aerospace
10 stocks hit the daily limit; Jianjian Shares had 3 days and 3 boards, Rising Technology 4 days and 3 boards. With orders pushed out to 2028 and SpaceX listing as a catalyst, industry progress is clear;
Pharmaceutical sector
8 stocks hit the daily limit; Menopharm had 7 days and 6 boards, Shuanglu Pharmaceutical 4 days and 3 boards. Coupled with a first-quarter earnings pre-increase + major authorization events in AI pharma, the defensive attribute becomes prominent.
Weak pulse sectors—disagreement intensifies:
Power sector suffered a heavy setback: Huadian Liaoning, Huadian Energy, and other popular stocks from earlier periods hit limit-down, reflecting that capital has pulled out from crowded high-level tracks;
Solar equipment and public utilities were leading on the downside. Worries about electricity price policy and uncertainty in industry reform warmed up in the market—this is a “retreat phase after high-level profit-taking.”
II. Hearing: listening to market voices
Today the market’s action features a “two-engine drive of policy and events”: an escalation of the Middle East situation pushes up demand for safe-haven resources (aluminum, oil shipping). Internally, China’s March manufacturing PMI hit 50.8, above expectations; combined with the catalyst of the “trade-in for upgrade” policy, it forms a “tug-of-war pattern of external pressure providing and internal support maintaining.”
Capital performance:
In the optical communications and commercial aerospace sectors, multiple stocks saw large orders that sealed the daily limit, showing capital’s high recognition of products with clear industrial logic. Meanwhile, in the power sector, there were more limit-down stocks—indicating that disagreement-driven capital is switching from high-level stocks to lower-level defensive sectors such as non-ferrous metals and pharmaceuticals, further confirming the defensive idea of “switching between high and low.”
III. Asking: pressing questions to my own confusion (sparing holdings, checking logic)
Menopharm:
A pharma leader with 6 boards in 7 days. It fits the logic of “mainline core + an emotion carrier.” It’s at 4 boards, waiting for changes in the sector signal.
Weihui Communication:
Held on a rolling basis; the logic has been explained earlier;
Zhongli Group:
After bottoming in at the 10-day line in deep water, it hit the daily limit—an ultra-short-term price spread. Watch tomorrow’s strength;
Nord Shares:
A logic branch tied to lithium batteries. Today the sector rotated, but it didn’t fully break out. Watch whether tomorrow it can reverse and repair.
IV. Cutting: diagnosing and operating the pulse (set strategy, clarify entry/exit)
Overall market走势: After probing the bottom and rebounding today, volume modestly expanded. Yet the number of stocks rising and falling is close, and the success rate of consecutive board upgrades is low. I expect short-term range-bound volatility; external geopolitical developments remain a disturbance variable.
Tomorrow’s sector prediction: Optical communications, commercial aerospace, and pharma are likely to continue their differentiated strength. The key is whether leaders like Menopharm and Jianjian Shares can continue to open up room;
Weak sectors such as power and solar need to be wary of the risk of further declines after a rebound, and it’s not advisable to blindly bottom-pick.
Trading strategy: Control position sizing, focus on the mainline core, and avoid chasing trends from high-level stocks.
The biggest opportunity is where nobody asks;
The biggest risk is when everyone is talking.
Let capital become an extension of your will!
Wishing your family a smooth flow of qi and blood—may your account soar like a rainbow!
Thanks to the brothers and sisters of “Jinfen Shijia”—through wind and rain, you understand and support Mi Xiao You, forging ahead along the way. Much thanks to you.
Xiao You has already followed back; from here on, you get both the fish and the fishing net.
Looking forward to more交流, grow together, and run toward freedom!
Thanks to everyone for your likes! Acknowledging others is also accumulating your own blessings;
Thanks for your generous tips! If you’re willing to give to others, the returns you receive will surely come endlessly and overflow with fullness!
Thanks for pushing and cheering! For those who applaud others, the road ahead is bound to blossom step by step and become even more splendid;