Unsuccessful start, got beaten again. -3.30 Review

Today’s three major index benchmarks on the market were lower at the open and then rallied strongly— the Shanghai Composite closed higher, again highlighting the independence and resilience of A-shares. This is definitely something worth praising. However, during the session there were also more questionable twists and turns helping things along again; first, it was Trump: “Iran has allowed 20 oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.” But crude oil futures and the stock market showed no real reaction. Then came a new statement attributed to U.S. President Trump, saying that Iran had agreed to “most of the contents” in the ceasefire “15-point plan.” This time, crude oil futures started to pull back, Asia-Pacific equities also began to rise, and our “Big A” had even better elasticity—the pullback strength and rebound height were both quite strong—so it successfully went from lower open to higher close during the day. In fact, achieving an outcome like this today is closely related to the news push. The “Iran direction” news today was clearly being blocked; whether there truly was no news, or whether it was intentionally delayed until after the close, we’ll only know after a little while when we see the market’s updates.

The market index performance right now is very strong, but we still can’t say it’s completely stable. There is still the possibility of a second bottom-tapping. [Taoguba]

Now, the short-term “limit-up chain” market is still not ideal. There’s still very little hot money in this market. The market has no “big picture” and no conviction-driven capital. The remaining hot money is mostly pure arbitrage thinking—every day it’s high-to-low switching and then baton-passing. With the village easing its stance, you still can’t get the炒作 momentum going; it rarely lets people feel at ease. But today’s hot money being a bit sly is also understandable—mainly because Huadian Liaoneng got hit with a nuclear-grade floor. That’s negative feedback for the short-term limit-up chain attempts.

The sector market is even worse to talk about. It’s completely being tied up and crushed back and forth like a roulette wheel by quant-driven rotation, and sectors can’t show any sustained trend at all. Even “energy substitution” and “chemicals,” which were hyped the most going into the weekend, today still did a run-up and then fell back to trap people. This is what the sector market looks like right now—it’s heartbreaking just watching it. What’s even more heartbreaking is oil & natural gas stocks—right now they’re getting neither love from the “aunt” nor approval from the “uncle.” If you want to reverse into a new upswing, that’s still pretty hard. You still need to wait for Brent crude to break above $120 to spark the行情.

$1
Today’s market snapshot:
The three major indices opened lower and then rallied during the early session, and then churned later in the afternoon. The Shanghai Composite rose 0.24% to 3923.29. The Shenzhen Component fell 0.25% to 13726.19 points. The ChiNext Index fell 0.68% to 3273.36 points. Total turnover across both markets was 1.9275 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 63.8 billion yuan versus the previous trading day. In terms of themes today, the more active sectors included lithium robots, commercial aerospace, pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, communications, and the ST segment, among others.

1. There were 77 stocks that achieved the daily limit-up in practice; 20 stocks actually hit limit-down; the limit-up hit rate was 77%.
2. Advancing stocks: 2868; Declining stocks: 2464.

Market summary: Throughout the whole market, more stocks went up than down, but the money-making effect was only so-so. My futures account is still continuing to push aggressively. The Middle East news during the session affected the futures market’s pullback, but it didn’t really impact long/short operations—because it was able to respond in a timely manner during the session, so my trades today were also quite smooth. I’m still optimistic about the futures market trend. My short-term trading account went to cash today again. Last Friday I made a move on Audibull—so無奈, it was continuously smashed down to the floor during the morning. That made me a bit panicky, and that’s why I basically cut at around the lowest point. It’s really too exasperating—bad luck in getting started. But that doesn’t change the fact that I’m still looking favorably and will still place trades.

The strategy plan will be posted tomorrow morning in the post comments.

$1
Top sentiment leaders area (6 total):

MenNuoHua—weight-loss drugs, 7-day 6 boards,

ShenJian Shares—commercial aerospace, 3 consecutive boards,

ShuangLu Pharmaceutical—innovative drugs, 4 days 3 boards,

Hangdian Shares—fiber optics concept, 4 days 3 boards,

Shitou Shares—AI applications, 4 days 3 boards,

ZaiSheng Technology—glass fiber, 4 days 3 boards,

$1
Breakthrough to the second-board area (8 total):
(1) Sinong United—pesticides, 2 consecutive boards,
(2) SuLi Shares—pesticides, 2 consecutive boards,
(3) JinYao Pharmaceutical—innovative drugs, 2 consecutive boards,
(4) LianHuan Pharmaceutical—weight-loss drugs, 2 consecutive boards,
(5) Farsheng—fiber optics concept, 2 consecutive boards,
(6) GuiGuang Network—computing power, 2 consecutive boards,
(7) JiuAn Medical—AI investment, 2 consecutive boards,
(8) LianXiang Shares—equity transfer, 3 days 2 boards,

$1
Special thanks to @牛牛哄哄, brother, for awarding 500 points in support

Thanks to @撬板小虾米 @lightwo @蕉叶 brothers for your support$1
Thanks to all fellow “old irons” for liking and commenting—thank you for your support all the way
$1
Disclaimer: My views are only personal thoughts and records and do not constitute any investment advice. Keep a good mindset—may the stock market enjoy a long run of prosperity.