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Not discussing technicals today, just chatting about this Middle East "macro chess game"~
Trump's recent series of statements are all about controlling the pace~
On one hand, by suppressing oil prices to stabilize market sentiment and give US stocks "life support," he's delayed a stock market crash~
On the other hand, he's creating a time window for subsequent military operations. This kind of operation is actually more like throwing combination punches, not single-point strikes~
The key variable still comes down to the Strait of Hormuz~ To win this war, you must secure it~
This isn't just an energy corridor, it's the core bargaining chip of the entire game.
Once the situation escalates, whether it's blockade or control, it directly impacts global energy pricing power~
Meanwhile, energy hubs like Halul Island - if they truly become targets, that signals the conflict escalating from "gaming" to "core asset contention"~
So the next 1-2 weeks are the critical observation period~
We'll see what America's true intentions are, and odds are it's not negotiation and compromise~
History has too many failed negotiation experiences~
This game isn't a multiple-choice question, it's a required one~
And the market - short-term capital is following Trump's rhythm~
#SPY # IranWar #BTC