📝 My Weekend Trading Plan

#My Weekend Trading Plan

After this week's volatile shakeout, the weekend's market movement is particularly crucial. My current position structure presents a "defensive counter-attack" posture, with an overall strategy leaning toward "stop-loss protection, waiting for rebounds."

1. Market Outlook: Attack or Defense?

Strategy Choice: Defense as the primary focus, short-term trading as supplementary.

The market is currently at a critical turning point. From my positions, my current short position (RIVER) faces significant drawdown pressure, while long positions (BTC, DOGE) are in slight losses or underwater state. Therefore, this weekend I don't plan to pursue large-position chase-ups or sell-offs, but rather focus on risk control and loss recovery as primary objectives.

2. Market Prediction: Rebound or Decline?

View: Weak rebound with caution on pullback after spike.

I believe a technical rebound will likely occur over the weekend, especially for oversold mainstream coins like DOGE and BTC. However, given the overall weak trend currently, I'm not optimistic about directly breaking through the upper resistance. If there's a sharp rally over the weekend, it would be an opportunity to handle my underwater positions (such as DOGE) rather than a time to chase gains.

3. Key Focus and Trading Positions

My current account holdings are as follows. I will focus on operational decisions for these three positions over the weekend:

BTCUSDT (Long Position):

Current Status: Currently in slight loss with a light position size.

Plan: As the market's stabilizing force, I will continue to monitor and hold. If the weekend consolidates above 69,000, I'll consider adding a small position to capture next week's opening rally; conversely, if it breaks below the 68,000 support level, I will decisively stop-loss and exit.

DOGEUSDT (Long Position):

Current Status: Currently underwater by approximately 30%, the "laggard" in the account.

Plan: This is a typical short-term trading target. DOGE has experienced extreme volatility recently. I plan to reduce position during the weekend rebound opportunity. If the price rebounds to the 0.095-0.098 range, I will decisively close half the position, reduce risk exposure, and stop fantasizing about a V-shaped recovery.

RIVERUSDT (Short Position):

Current Status: Currently suffering severe losses (-119%), a full-position short at the edge of liquidation.

Plan: This is the most dangerous position. RIVER's current movement is extremely volatile, completely disconnected from fundamentals. To prevent direct liquidation and total loss, I plan to add margin manually or close part of the position when the price rebounds near 26.5 to reduce risk. If RIVER continues its one-way rally over the weekend, I will be forced to admit defeat and exit to preserve remaining capital.

4. Notable Industry News Worth Monitoring

Over the weekend, I need to closely watch these two points:

Macro Economy: Federal Reserve officials' weekend remarks and the aftereffects of non-farm payroll data, which will determine the direction of the US dollar index and subsequently impact crypto market liquidity.

AI and RWA Sectors: The AI Agent and RWA sectors have been rotating rapidly recently. If there's favorable news over the weekend (such as a major player's AI product launch), it could revive altcoin sentiment. I should monitor whether BTC can break through resistance levels with this opportunity.

Summary: Weekend trading, mindset comes first. For losing positions, no wishful thinking; for profitable opportunities, take small profits and exit. Wishing everyone a pleasant weekend and accounts in the green! (Not sure why I can't add positions when I want to, and can't reach customer service either$BTC $ETH $RIVER ‌)