I'm heartbroken seeing the domestic real estate market. My house has evaporated 3 million in value, losing 50%, down 3 million over three years, averaging 1 million loss annually!

Over the past three years, the estimated national real estate market value has fallen approximately 40% from around 400 trillion, leaving an estimated 240 trillion or so remaining. It's devastating!

2026 Real Estate Outlook: Stabilization After Decline

Multiple institutions (such as UBS, China Index Academy, and Dongwu Securities) predict the market will touch bottom in the second half of 2026, with new home sales area expected to decline 6%-10%, but with narrowing downside; policies will continue to strengthen (inventory destocking, stabilizing expectations, quality housing construction), expected to gradually stabilize.

Differentiation Intensifying: First-tier/core second-tier cities (such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen) show strong resilience, while remote suburbs/third and fourth-tier cities face deeper adjustments.

As a stock asset, real estate rental yields have risen to around 2%, with some exceeding bank fixed-deposit returns.