📊 2026-03-18 ETH Technical Analysis (Beijing Time 11:05)

Current Price: Oscillating near $2346

I. Trend & Structure

- Daily: High-level oscillation, bullish momentum weakening, currently in consolidation phase after surge.
- 4H/1H: Short-term bearish bias, rejection from $2380+ with breakdown of short-term moving averages.
- Volume: Pullback with expanding volume, rebound with declining volume, cooling bullish momentum.
- Medium-term: 50/100-day moving averages still trending upward, macro structure maintaining bullish alignment.

II. Key Support/Resistance (Precise Levels)

- Resistance Levels
- Intraday Strong Resistance: $2370–$2385 (Previous high & psychological level)
- Medium-term Strong Resistance: $2420–$2450 (Breakout could signal continuation)
- Support Levels
- Intraday Support: $2300–$2320 (Short-term moving average support)
- Strong Support Zone: $2250–$2280 (Institutional cost area)
- Breakdown Target: $2200

III. Indicator Signals

- RSI: Pulled back near 50, exiting overbought, balanced risk/reward.
- MACD: 4H red candles narrowing/turning green, bearish momentum strengthening.
- Bollinger Bands: Price pressured at upper band, reverting toward mid-band.

IV. Macro & Events (Key Impact)

- Federal Reserve Rate Decision (Today): Expected to hold rates steady. Key focus on Powell's speech for rate-cut pathway signals, which will directly impact market liquidity and risk appetite—the biggest variable today.

V. Intraday Strategy (Not Investment Advice)

- Long: Pullback to $2250–$2280 stabilizes, scale in longs progressively; Stop loss $2200; Target $2350–$2385.
- Short: Rebound to $2370–$2385 faces resistance, scale in shorts progressively; Stop loss $2420; Target $2300–$2280 .
- Standby: Await Fed decision outcome, follow trend once direction clarifies.

VI. Risk Disclaimer

- Volatility expands before/after decision; strict position sizing and stop losses are paramount.
- Breaking below $2250 = short-term bullish trend weakens, adjust to bearish bias; holding $2420 = bullish restart, targeting previous high challenge.

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