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Since last year, the view that tariffs could have a deflationary effect and that the risk of deflation outweighs the risk of inflation has been met with skepticism and ridicule. But now the data speaks for itself.
Look at the current reality: oil and gas prices are falling, food costs are decreasing, and housing prices are loosening. Meanwhile, real wages adjusted for inflation are rising. The rapid decline in the inflation rate has exceeded many people's expectations.
This is no coincidence. Turning points in the economic cycle often begin to manifest through price signals. When the cost of living pressures ease, consumers' real purchasing power actually increases — this will have a profound impact on long-term asset allocation and market expectations re-pricing.